首页|气候政策不确定性对企业绿色创新的影响

气候政策不确定性对企业绿色创新的影响

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为应对日益严重的气候变化,各国都在积极制定各种气候政策以推动绿色转型和可持续发展。气候政策的频繁变动给企业经营带来了新的风险。绿色创新作为企业的战略资源,是助推经济绿色转型的重要方式,不可避免地受到气候政策不确定性的影响。文中以2010-2022 年中国上市企业数据为研究样本,检验气候政策不确定性对企业绿色创新的影响。研究发现,气候政策不确定性对企业绿色创新存在显著抑制作用,且在非国有企业、非能源企业及高分析师关注度企业中,抑制作用更明显。气候政策不确定性的持续攀升通过增加融资约束、降低风险承担水平削弱了企业绿色创新意愿,其中风险承担水平的间接效应表现为"遮掩效应"。数字化转型能够显著抵御气候政策不确定性对绿色创新的负向冲击,尤其有助于提高企业实质性绿色创新应对气候政策变动的能力。
The impact of climate policy uncertainty on the green innovation of enterprises
In order to cope with increasingly serious climate change,various countries are actively formulating climate policies to promote green transformation and sustainable development.Frequent changes in climate policies bring new risks to business operations.As a strategic resource for enterprises,green innovation is an important way to boost the green transformation of the economy,which is inevitably affected by climate policy uncertainty(CPU).Based on the data of Chinese listed enterprises from 2010 to 2022,this paper investigates the impact of climate policy uncertainty on corporate green innovation and its mechanism through Tobit modeling.The results show that CPU has a significant inhibitory effect on enterprises'green innovation,which is more pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises,non-energy enterprises and enterprises with high analyst attention.Rising CPU weakens enterprises'willingness to innovate by increasing financing constraints and lowering risk-taking levels,with the indirect effect of risk-taking levels manifesting itself as a"masking effect".The moderating mechanism test finds that enterprises'digital transformation can significantly counteract the negative impacts of CPU on green innovation,and in particular helps to improve the ability of enterprises'substantive green innovation to cope with climate policy changes.This paper not only deepens previous research but also provides richer empirical evidence for understanding the impact of CPU in developing countries.The findings are conducive to inspiring the formulation and adjustment of CPU and provide practical evidence for companies engaged in green innovation to mitigate climate-related risks.

Climate policy uncertainty(CPU)Financing constraintsRisk-taking levelDigital transformationGreen innovation

张娜、孙妍雨、赵晓军、常思纯、吴立言

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北京交通大学北京产业安全与发展研究基地,北京 100044

北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京 100044

中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院,北京 102488

香港中文大学社会科学院,香港 999077

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气候政策不确定性 融资约束 风险承担水平 数字化转型 绿色创新

国家社会科学基金重点项目

23AJY001

2024

气候变化研究进展
国家气候中心

气候变化研究进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.711
ISSN:1673-1719
年,卷(期):2024.20(5)