Probability Evaluation of Wind Solar Joint Output Considering the Influence of Multi Parameter Faults
The integration of a large number of wind and photovoltaic power generation systems into the power grid will pose a serious challenge to the reliability of the power system,and the uncertainty of their output will also make it difficult to evaluate the reliability of the power system.In order to better evaluate the combined output of wind and photovoltaic power plants,a reliability model for the combined output of wind and photovoltaic power plants is established by taking into account the characteristics of wind and solar randomness and volatility,as well as the failure,derating,and shutdown status of internal power generation equipment in the wind and photovoltaic power plants.Based on the Monte Carlo method,the probability evaluation of the active output of the combined generation is carried out,and the wind and photovoltaic power plants are analyzed The impact of photovoltaic electric fields on evaluation results,taking into account fault conditions.The simulation results show that the established model can effectively evaluate the output of the joint system.
joint power generationoperating statusprobability assessmentMonte Carlo method
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
