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北京"23·7"极端强降雨特征和成因分析

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利用北京地区加密气象站、补盲的北京市规划和自然资源委员会雨量站、双偏振雷达、风廓线雷达、GPS水汽等观测数据和ERA5再分析数据,对北京"23·7"极端强降雨阶段性特征和成因进行了分析。结果表明:"23·7"极端强降雨累计降水量(331 mm)和单点最大降水量(1025 mm)均打破历史纪录,最大雨强(126。6 mm·h-1)排名历史第二位,具有显著的极端性。强降雨可分为5个阶段,其中第Ⅱ和第Ⅳ阶段降水量分别占过程累计降水量的37。1%和39。7%,第Ⅳ阶段雨强更大,对应急流更强,高温、高湿特征也更明显。地形对降雨的增幅作用显著,降水量在海拔100~300 m山区迅速增加,极大值出现在海拔约400 m的山区,第Ⅱ(第Ⅳ)阶段山区平均降水量和小时雨强分别是平原的2。1(3。0)倍和2。0(2。7)倍;第Ⅱ阶段主要为地形对急流的直接抬升,第Ⅳ阶段为地形绕流辐合和直接抬升共同作用。7月31日上午(第Ⅳ阶段)边界层急流出口区与低空急流入口区耦合导致低层上升运动增强,促使西部山前β中尺度对流系统由块状发展成线状并有γ中尺度涡旋产生,该β中尺度对流系统北上时形成短暂的列车效应,引发了西部山区8个站次100 mm·h-1以上的极端短时强降水。
Characteristics and Causes of the July 2023 Extremely Torrential Rain in Beijing
Based on the data of automatic weather stations in Beijing region,complementary rain gauge sta-tions of Beijing Municipal Commission of Planning and Natural Resources,dual-polarization radar and wind-profiling radar as well as the GPS data and ERA5 reanalysis data,we analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics,and causes of this July 2023 extremely torrential rain in Beijing.The results indicate that the accumulated precipitation and intensity of this event were significant,with an average accumulated pre-cipitation of 331 mm and maximum precipitation 1025 mm at a single station,both of which broke histori-cal records.The maximum hourly rainfall of 126.6 mm·h-1ranked the second in history.This rainfall process can be divided into five stages,of which stage Ⅱ and stage Ⅳ of the rainfall accounted for 37.1%and 39.7%of the total process,being the primary phases.During stage Ⅳ,the corresponding jet stream intensity got much stronger,and the characteristics of high temperature and high humidity were more ob-vious.Terrain had a significant impact on the increase in rainfall.The rainfall increased most rapidly in the region between 100-300 m above sea level,and the maximum value appeared near the areas approximately at the altitude of 400 m.The average accumulated rainfall and maximum hourly rainfall in mountainous ar-eas were 2.1(3.0)times and 2.0(2.7)times that of the plains during stage Ⅱ(stage Ⅳ),respectively.Stage Ⅱ was primarily influenced by the direct terrain lifting of low-level jet,while stage Ⅳ was character-ized by the combined effect of terrain lifting and blocking convergence.On the morning of the 31(stageⅣ),the coupling of the boundary layer convergence at the terminus and the low-level divergence at its en-trance led strong ascending motions,promoting the massive β-MCS to develop into a linear shape accompa-nied by a meso-γ scale vortex.This β-MCS propagated northward along the western mountainous regions,forming a short train effect and triggering the short-time extremely severe rainfall over 100 mm·h-1 at eight stations.

the July 2023 extremely torrential rainterrain effectlow-level jetmesoscale convective systemmeso-γ scale vortex

荆浩、亢妍妍、吴宏议、雷蕾、郭锐、赵玮、于波

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北京市气象台,北京 100097

"23·7"极端强降雨 地形作用 低空急流 中尺度对流系统 γ中尺度涡旋

海河流域气象科技创新项目北京市科技计划

HHXM202405Z221100005222012

2024

气象
国家气象中心

气象

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.337
ISSN:1000-0526
年,卷(期):2024.50(5)