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鲁南地区1981-2021年地温变化特征分析及其对气温的响应

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文章利用鲁南地区26个国家级气象观测站0~320 cm层地温和气温数据,分析出该地区1981-2021年0~320 cm层地温年、季变化特征及其对气温的响应.通过线性倾向率分析法、Mann-Kendall检验、Morlet小波分析法和ArcGIS空间分析功能探索鲁南地区地温分布特征.研究得出鲁南地区各层平均地温均呈上升趋势,春季升温特征最为明显;40 cm和80 cm层地温分别在2015年和2013年呈突变性增长状态;各层地温具有明显的20~25年时间尺度周期变化,且各层地温在不同时间段内存在各自的第二周期变化和第三周期变化;从地理角度分析,鲁南地温呈现南高北低的分布状态,由薛城、微山等地依次向东北、西北方向递减;各季浅层地温与平均气温均呈极显著正相关,相关系数均在0.84以上,80 cm和320 cm层地温秋季与平均气温相关系数未通过0.05显著检验.
Analysis of ground temperature change characteristics and its response to temperature in southern Shandong Province from 1981 to 2021
Based on the 0~320 cm layer ground temperature and air temperature data from 26 national meteorological stations in southern Shandong province,the annual and seasonal variation characteristics of the 0~320 cmlayer ground temperature from 1981 to 2021 were analyzed as well as its reponse to temperature.Through linear tendency rate analysis method,Mann-Kendall test,Morlet wavelet analysis method,and ArcGIS spatial analysis function,the distribution characteristics of ground temperature in southern Shandong were explored.It is concluded that the average ground temperature of each layer in the southern Shandong province shows an upward trend,and the temperature rise is most obvious in spring.The ground temperature in 40 cm and 80 cm layers showed a sudden increase in 2015 and 2013,respectively.The ground temperature of each layer has obvious periodic changes on a time scale of 20~25 years,and the ground temperature of each layer has its own second and third periodic changes in different time periods.From the perspective of geography,the ground temperature in southern Shandong shows a distribution pattern of high in the south and low in the north,gradually decreasing from Xuecheng,Weishan towards to the northeast and northwest.There is a significant positive correlation between shallow ground temperature and average temperature in each season,and the correlation coefficients above 0.84.The correlation coefficients between auturm ground temperature and average temperature in 80 cm and 320 cm layers did not pass the 0.05 significance test.

southern Shandong Provinceground temperature change characteristicsMann-Kendall testwavelet analysisArcGIS

崔云鹏、胡园春、陈立峰、邢丽珠

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枣庄市峄城区气象局,枣庄 277300

枣庄市气象局,枣庄 277000

鲁南地区 地温变化特征 Mann-Kendall检验 小波分析 ArcGIS

山东省气象局科学技术研究项目山东省气象局科学技术研究项目枣庄市科技发展计划枣庄市科技发展计划

2021SDYD392022SDQX082020NS042022NS22

2024

气象水文海洋仪器
中国仪器仪表学会 气象水文海洋仪器分会 长春气象仪器研究所

气象水文海洋仪器

影响因子:0.307
ISSN:1006-009X
年,卷(期):2024.41(2)
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