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南昌市冬季气温变化趋势及影响

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为了解南昌市冬季气温变化情况,对南昌市冬季平均气温、最高气温、最低气温等资料进行线性拟合与谐波分析,结果表明:南昌市12—次年2月平均气温为7.1 ℃,入冬时间及冬季结束时间均较晚,冬季日数总体呈缓慢增长的趋势;通过对南昌冬季三个月平均气温数据的分析,发现极端天气多,冬季温差大,且出现"今年冷,次年热"的现象,但整体12—次年2月的平均气温趋于平缓.南昌地区的气温情况是中国南方大部分地区的缩影,响应了全球气候变化的总体趋势,全球气候变暖,极端性天气增加,人们不但要主动适应变化趋势,更要积极应对变化趋势产生的影响.
Trend and impact of winter temperature changes in Nanchang City
In order to understand the changes of winter temperature in Nanchang City,the linear fitting and harmonic analysis were performed on the data of winter average temperature,maximum temperature,and minimum air temperature in Nanchang city.The results show that the annual average temperature in winter of Nanchang(from December to the February)is 7.1 ℃,and the start time and end time of winter are relatively late from 2010 to 2020.The overall number of winter days shows a slow increasing trend.Through the analysis of the average temperature data for the three months of winter in Nanchang,it was found that there were many extreme weather conditions,large temperature differences in winter,and a phenomenon of"cold this year,hot the next year"occurred.However,the overall average temperature from December to February of the following year tends to gentle.The temperature situation in Nanchang is a microcosm of most southern China,responding to the overall trend of global climate change.With global warming and an increase in extreme weather,people not only need to actively adapt to the changing trend,but also actively respond to the impact of the changing trend.

winter in Nanchang Citytemperature changesimpact countermeasures

芦周成、李朝阳、刘达、金星、郭泓

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江西省气象服务中心,南昌 330096

江西赣象防雷检测中心有限公司,南昌 330006

南昌市冬季 气温变化 影响对策

国家自然科学基金项目江西省气象局重点科研项目江西省防灾减灾工程技术研究中心专项

41975001JX2022Z04JX2023M25

2024

气象水文海洋仪器
中国仪器仪表学会 气象水文海洋仪器分会 长春气象仪器研究所

气象水文海洋仪器

影响因子:0.307
ISSN:1006-009X
年,卷(期):2024.41(3)