首页|"2023-03-22"乐平大暴雨强降水回波特征与应用

"2023-03-22"乐平大暴雨强降水回波特征与应用

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为了更好地预报乐平大暴雨和短时强降水天气,文章使用MICAPS天气图、乐平自动气象站雨量、雷达回波等资料,采用天气学、雷达气象学等原理和图像识别技术,对2023-03-22乐平大暴雨过程和短时强降水的回波进行分析.结果表明:大暴雨的对流性特征明显,伴有强降水、强雷电等强对流天气;探空图上具有典型的"喇叭口"结构,低槽东移,冷空气与西南气流交汇,高层辐散,地面辐合,导致强降水发生;强降水伴有显著强雷电,降水强度最大的乐平雷电密度也最大,在强降水开始时,强雷电一般超前于强降水出现,而在强降水过程之中或即将结束时,强雷电落后于强降水;TBB强中心以南等值线密集地方对流最旺盛,最易诱发强降水;在测站上游出现大范围45 dBZ以上强回波且向测站移来时,强回波面积≥300 km2,会导致≥30 mm/h强降水,应提前发布预警信息.研究结果对乐平大暴雨和短时强降水的监测预警、预报服务发挥指导作用.
Echo characteristics and application of"2023-03-22"Leping heavy rainstorm
In order to better predict the heavy rainstorm and short-time heavy precipitation in Leping,this paper analyzes the echo of the 2023-03-22 heavy rainstorm process and short-time heavy precipitation by using MICAPS weather map,rainfall of Leping Automatic Weather Station,radar echo and other data,using synoptic,radar meteorology and other principles and image recognition technology.The results show that the convective characteristics of heavy rainstorm are obvious,accompanied by strong convective weather such as heavy precipitation and lightning.On the sounding map,there is a typical"horn mouth"structure,the trough moves eastward,cold air intersects with southwest airflow,upper level divergence,and ground convergence,leading to heavy precipitation.Heavy precipitation is accompanied by significant strong lightning,and the lightning density in Leping,where precipitation intensity is highest,is also the strongest.At the beginning of heavy precipitation,strong lightning generally occurs before heavy precipitation,while during or near the end of the heavy precipitation process,strong lightning lags behind heavy precipitation.The areas south of the TBB strong center with dense contour lines have the strongest convection and are most likely to induce heavy precipitation.When a large area of strong echoes above 45 dBZ appears upstream of the measuring station and moves towards the measuring station,the area of the strong echoes reaches ≥300 km2,which will lead to heavy precipitation ≥30 mm/h.Early warning information should be issued.It is hoped that the research results can play a guiding role in monitoring,warning and forecasting services of Leping heavy rainstorm and short-term heavy rainfall.

heavy rainstormheavy precipitationecho characteristichourly average echo value

郑卡妮、计苇

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乐平市气象局,乐平 333000

景德镇市气象局,景德镇 333000

大暴雨 强降水 回波特征 小时回波平均值

国家自然科学基金项目景德镇市科技计划项目江西省气象科技项目

419750012022SF003JX2022M03

2024

气象水文海洋仪器
中国仪器仪表学会 气象水文海洋仪器分会 长春气象仪器研究所

气象水文海洋仪器

影响因子:0.307
ISSN:1006-009X
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)