首页|成都平原耕地非粮化时空演变特征及驱动因素

成都平原耕地非粮化时空演变特征及驱动因素

扫码查看
采用数理量化模型和空间自相关法分析成都平原耕地非粮化时空演变特征,构建经济计量模型识别耕地非粮化驱动因素。结果表明:1)时序上,2000-2019年成都平原耕地非粮化面积与非粮化率均呈波动增加趋势,其增幅分别为4。40%、13。53%,耕地保护和粮食安全保障面临较大压力;2)空间上,成都平原34个区县耕地非粮化面积呈多中心分散分布态势,非粮化率呈中部高、东北和西南低的空间格局,且非粮化面积空间分布集聚区域集中在成都及其周边临近城市;3)经济作物种植规模、农业结构调整、城镇化率、耕地保护政策是影响成都平原耕地非粮化最主要的因素。基于此,提出划定耕地保护红线以落实耕地用途管制、加强部门协同管理以形成耕地保护合力、完善农业补贴制度以保障农民基本权益、加大耕地保护政策宣讲以提高粮食安全意识的建议。
Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Non-Grain Production of Cultivated Land and Its Driving Factors in Chengdu Plain
Cultivated land is the cornerstone of grain production and the basic resource to ensure food security.Understanding the non-grain production status of cultivated land in the main grain-producing areas of western China is necessary to provide a basis for regional sustainable agricultural development and cultivated land protection decision-making.In this study,Chengdu Plain was selected as an empirical research area.A mathematical quantization model and spatial autocorrelation method were used to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of non-grain production of cultivated land in Chengdu Plain,and an econometric model was constructed to identify its driving factors.The results showed that the cultivated land area did not change significantly in the Chengdu Plain from 2000 to 2019;however,the small change in cultivated land area did not mean that its actual use changed little,and the non-grain production status of cultivated land was obvious.(1)From 2000 to 2019,both the Non-Grain production Area(NGA)and the Non-Grain production Rate(NGR)in Chengdu Plain showed a fluctuating and increasing trend,with an increased rate of 4.40%and 13.53%,respectively,which indicates that cultivated land protection and food security were under great pressure.(2)In terms of space,the NGA in 34 districts and counties of Chengdu Plain presents a multi-center scattered distribution,which shows a spatial pattern of high in the center and low in the northeast and southwest,and the NGA's spatial agglomeration areas are concentrated in Chengdu and its neighboring cities.(3)Economic Crop Planting Scale(ECPS),Agricultural Structure Adjustment(ASA),Urbanization Rate(UR),and Cultivated Land Protection Policy(CLPP)are the most important factors affecting the non-grain transformation of cultivated land in Chengdu Plain.Some suggestions are proposed:red lines should be drawn to implement a control system for cultivated land use;departmental collaboration must be strengthened to build a synergy of cultivated land protection;the agricultural subsidy system must be improved to defend farmers'fundamental rights and interests;and policy advocacy for cultivated land protection should be enhanced to raise food security awareness.This study can better reflect the non-grain production status of cultivated land in Chengdu Plain,and from the spatial unit of district and county,it provides a good perspective for the study of the non-grain production of cultivated land.This study also provides a scientific foundation for decision-making regarding regional sustainable agricultural development and cultivated land protection.

non-grain production of cultivated landtheoretical mechanismspatiotemporal characteristicsdriving factorsChengdu Plain

陈磊、邱茹梦、李川

展开 >

西华师范大学 管理学院,四川 南充 637002

西昌学院 资源与环境学院,四川 西昌 615013

耕地非粮化 理论机制 时空特征 驱动因素 成都平原

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金四川省大学生创新创业训练计划项目

22YJCZH016S202210638042

2023

热带地理
广州地理研究所

热带地理

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.953
ISSN:1001-5221
年,卷(期):2023.43(12)
  • 3
  • 26