2011-2022年泉州市登革热流行态势和风险制图
The epidemic situation and risk mapping of dengue fever in Quanzhou from 2011 to 2022
潘欢欢 1周建丁 2李锋平 1刘娜文 3吴生根4
作者信息
- 1. 泉州市疾病预防控制中心,福建泉州 362000
- 2. 泉州市气象局,福建泉州 362000
- 3. 福建医科大学公共卫生学院,福建福州 350000
- 4. 福建省疾病预防控制中心,福建福州 350000
- 折叠
摘要
目的 分析2011-2022年泉州市登革热流行病学特征,探索发病病例的气象因素特征,绘制出泉州市登革热风险地图,为登革热的防控重点提供依据.方法 收集和分析2011-2022年中国疾病预防控制信息系统中网络报告的泉州市登革热确诊病例信息及泉州市的气象数据,采用SPSS 25.0软件整理分析,利用ArcGIS 10.7软件分析和绘制风险地图.结果 2011-2022年泉州市登革热累计报告病例460例,以男性为主(340例,占73.9％).主要集中在6-10月,共报告病例数329例,占71.5％.病例以境外输入为主,共409例,占88.9％,其中多数来自东南亚地区,菲律宾(170例)、柬埔寨(178例)为主要输入地;境内输入病例15例,广东(11例)最多;本地病例36例,占7.8％;输入性风险较高的镇(乡/街道)为深沪镇(19例)、龙湖镇(17例)、凤城镇(16例)、青阳街道(15例)、金井镇(15例)、凤里街道(15例).气象图像显示,泉州市2011-2022年年平均降水量西北部山区至东南沿海区域呈现逐级递减现象,与年平均湿度趋势大致相同.平均气象栅格图显示,年平均降水量＞989.91 mm,年平均最高温度＞36.66 ℃,年平均最低温度＞2.95 ℃,年平均温度＞21.10 ℃,年平均湿度＞68.63％的区域是2011-2022年泉州市续发病例主要集中的地区,是发生登革热本地病例的风险区域.结论 深沪镇、龙湖镇、凤城镇、青阳街道、金井镇、凤里街道等地区输入性风险较高,东南沿海区域输入后续发风险高.
Abstract
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of dengue fever in Quanzhou city from 2011 to 2022,explore the meteorological factors associated with the disease,and create a dengue fever risk map for Quanzhou city to provide guidance for the prevention and control of dengue fever.Methods The information of confirmed dengue fever cases in Quanzhou city reported through the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System from 2011 to 2022,as well as the meteorological data of Quanzhou city were collected and analyzed.The data was processed and analyzed using SPSS 25 software,and the risk map was created using ArcGIS 10.7 software.Results From 2011 to 2022,a total of 460 dengue fever cases were reported in Quanzhou city,mostly men(340 cases,accounting for 73.9％).Mainly concentrated from June to October,a total of 329 cases were reported,accounting for 71.5％.A total of 409 cases,accounting for 88.9％,were mainly imported from abroad.Most of them were from Southeast Asia,with the Philippines(170 cases)and Cambodia(178 cases)as the main import places.There were 15 domestically imported cases,with Guangdong(11 cases)having the most cases.There were 36 local cases,accounting for 7.8％.The towns(townships/subdistricts)with higher risk of imported cases were Shenhu town(19 cases),Longhu town(17 cases),Fengcheng town(16 cases),Qingyang subdistrict(15 cases),Jinjing town(15 cases)and Fengli street(15 cases).Meteorological images showed that the average annual precipitation in Quanzhou city from 2011 to 2022 had shown a gradual decrease from the northwest mountainous area to the southeastern coastal area,which was roughly the same as the trend of annual average humidity.The average meteorological raster map showed that the areas having annual average precipitation＞989.91 mm,annual average maximum temperature＞36.66 ℃,annual average minimum temperature＞2.95 ℃,annual average temperature＞21.10℃,and annual average humidity＞68.63％were the main risk areas having dengue fever in Quanzhou city from 2011 to 2022.Conclusion Areas such as Shenzhen town,Longhu town,Fengcheng town,Qingyang street,Jinjing town and Fengli street had a high risk of importing dengue fever cases,while the southeastern coastal region had a high risk of subsequent outbreaks after importation of the cases.
关键词
登革热/流性特征/GISKey words
Dengue fever/Epidemiological features/GIS引用本文复制引用
基金项目
福建泉州市科技重点项目(2019N056S)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据