Progress in the application of ecological niche models in vector-borne infectious diseases
The ecological niche model uses species distribution data and related environmental variables to establish a model based on a certain algorithm to analyze the ecological needs of species in order to predict the actual and potential distribution of species in different time and space.At present,the model has achieved good prediction results in the fields of risk factor identification and transmission risk prediction of vector-borne infectious diseases,indicating that it has good application value in disease transmission dynamic analysis and epidemiological research.However,for the prediction of some diseases with natural epidemic sources or large influence of biological factors,it is relatively rare for biological factors to be included as important parameters in the construction of the model,and the prediction results have certain limitations.It is necessary to consider more biological factors in the model design,data mining and processing when applying the ecological niche model to study such diseases,so as to improve the reliability of the prediction results.