首页|主观福利对生育意愿的影响——基于CGSS数据的实证研究

主观福利对生育意愿的影响——基于CGSS数据的实证研究

扫码查看
中国已经长期处于低生育率状态,国民生育意愿低迷,新生人口规模缩减.基于2012~2021年中国综合社会调查(CGSS)数据,以十九大报告提出的"获得感、幸福感、安全感"(简称"民生三感")为参照构建指标体系来测度主观福利水平,从意愿生育倾向和理想生育子女数两方面衡量生育意愿,探究主观福利对生育意愿的影响及其作用机制.研究结果显示,主观福利对生育意愿具有显著正向影响;从"民生三感"看,幸福感侧重影响理想生育子女数,安全感主要作用于意愿生育倾向,而获得感对两方面均具有显著影响,且影响最大;随着中国经济的持续发展以及生育政策的逐步放开,主观福利对意愿生育倾向的正向影响逐渐减弱,对理想生育子女数的正向影响却在逐渐增强.
The Impact of Subjective Well-being on Fertility Intention:An Empirical Study Based on CGSS Data
China has entered an era of low fertility,showing low fertility intention and declining num-ber of births.Using the 2012-2021 Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)data,this study constructs an index system to measure subjective well-being based on the"sense of gain,happiness and security"(i.e.,three senses of people's livelihood)proposed in the 19th National Congress report of the CPC.It measures people's fertility intention from two aspects:the intention to have children and the ideal num-ber of children.This study explores the influence of subjective well-being on fertility intention and reveals a significant positive impact.Specifically,the sense of happiness mainly affects the ideal number of chil-dren,while the sense of security mainly affects the intention to have children.The sense of gain signifi-cantly influences both aspects and exhibits the largest effect.Moreover,with the development of China's economy and the gradual liberalization of the fertility policy,the positive influence of the subjective well-being on the intention to have children is gradually weakening,while its influence on the ideal number of children is increasing.

Fertility IntentionSubjective Well-beingThree Senses of People's Livelihood

朱莉、黄柏林、刘呈军、彭刚

展开 >

贵州财经大学大数据统计学院

西南财经大学统计学院

重庆科技学院数理与大数据学院

生育意愿 主观福利 获得感 幸福感 安全感

2024

人口研究
中国人民大学

人口研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:4.287
ISSN:1000-6087
年,卷(期):2024.48(1)
  • 33