首页|基于最大熵模型的森林-草原交错区野生东北马鹿分布区预测与参数优化研究

基于最大熵模型的森林-草原交错区野生东北马鹿分布区预测与参数优化研究

扫码查看
利用最大熵模型(MaxEnt)对内蒙古高格斯台罕乌拉国家级自然保护区内的东北马鹿Cervus elaphus xan-thopygus潜在分布区和适宜生境进行预测,比较基于默认参数和优化参数的预测结果,探讨参数优化对东北马鹿种群潜在分布区和适宜生境预测结果的影响。研究结果表明:优化参数模型的特征组合选择线性、二次型、片段化、成积型和阈值型特征,调控倍率为4时,模型的拟合度和复杂度得到改善;优化参数建模下,温度季节性、距道路距离、距草地距离、最冷季平均温度、等温性、海拔和距河流距离是影响东北马鹿分布的主要环境因子;2种模型预测结果表明,东北马鹿均主要分布于保护区东北部,适宜生境面积分别为36。04 km2和126。67 km2,占总面积的3。5%和12。6%。研究表明,使用MaxEnt模型进行濒危珍稀物种潜在适宜生境预测时,需根据影响物种分布的关键环境因子选择最合理的参数设置。
Maximum Entropy Model Based Distributing Area Prediction and Parameter Optimization of Cervus elaphus xanthopygus in Forest-Grassland Ecotone,Inner Mongolia
By using the MaxEnt model,the potential distribution and suitable habitat of Cervus elaphus xanthopygus in the Gaogesitai Hanwula National Nature Reserve,Inner Mongolia were explored,and the default parameters were com-pared with the optimized parameters to explore the impact of parameter optimization on the results of potential distribution area and suitable habitat prediction.The results showed that:(1)compared to the default parameter model,MaxEnt had the best fit and complexity when the feature combinations in the model parameters were linear,quadratic,fragmented,inte-grable,and threshold,and the regularization multiplier was set as 4.(2)Temperature seasonality,distance to road,dis-tance to grassland,mean temperature of the coldest season,isothermality,elevation,and distance to river might be the main environmental factors affecting the distribution as determined by optimized parameter modeling using the analyses of contribution rate.(3)The prediction results before and after model optimization indicated that C.elaphus xanthopygus might mainly distribute in the northeast of the protected area.The default suitable habitat area in the model was 36.04 km2,accounting for 3.5%of the total area of the study area.In the optimized model,the suitable habitat area was 126.67 km2,accounting for 12.6%of the total area of the suitable habitat.This study shows that it is recommoned to choose the most reasonable parameter settings according to the key environmental factors that affect the distribution of species when using MaxEnt to predict the potential suitable habitat for endangered and rare species.

Cervus elaphus xanthopyguspotential distributionMaxEnt modelENMeval package

王彬影、李沁芳、李成彬、斯琴毕力格、彭继革、茫来、郭金龙、张明海、张玮琪

展开 >

东北林业大学野生动物与自然保护地学院,哈尔滨 150040

高格斯台罕乌拉国家级自然保护区管理局,内蒙古赤峰 025500

塔林花国家草原自然公园,内蒙古赤峰 025500

东北马鹿 潜在分布 最大熵模型 ENMeval数据包

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金黑龙江省自然科学基金中央高校基本科研业务费专项中国博士后科学基金黑龙江省博士后启动金项目

3207151231500328QC20170112572020BE022016M601400

2024

四川动物
四川省动物学会,四川省野生动植物保护协会,四川大学,成都大熊猫繁育研究基金会

四川动物

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.521
ISSN:1000-7083
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
  • 15