This article is based on the STIRPAT model to study the feasibility path of achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality in Shanxi Province.In the context of achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality,comprehensive energy reform pilot projects are carried out closely around national strategic goals.Based on the overview of economic and social development, energy consumption,and carbon emissions in Shanxi Province from 2011 to 2020,and combined with the research content and achievements of relevant scholars, the main influencing factors and model indicators of carbon emissions in Shanxi Province have been determined.On this basis,the function equation of carbon emissions in Shanxi Province is derived,and the scenario analysis method is used to predict the carbon emissions in Shanxi Province from 2023 to 2040,in order to obtain the peak range and peak time of carbon emissions in Shanxi Province;Finally,by combining the analysis results with the actual situation,a path and countermeasures for carbon reduction in Shanxi Province were proposed.