首页|新型城镇化与林业产业结构关系研究——以贵州省为例

新型城镇化与林业产业结构关系研究——以贵州省为例

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为探讨新型城镇化建设与林业产业结构优化的关系,基于 2002-2021年贵州省面板数据,通过测算新型城镇化发展指数与林业产业结构相关系数,并构建VAR模型,采用脉冲响应函数与方差分解对二者之间关系进行解析.研究结果表明:贵州省新型城镇化建设与林业产业结构优化之间存在长期均衡的协整关系与Granger因果关系,新型城镇化建设对林业产业结构存在正向促进作用,而林业产业发展也影响了新型城镇化建设趋势,并且若仅强调二者之一发展不具备可持续性.当前贵州省林业产业结构较好,而新型城镇化建设不足,可通过合理进行新型城镇化规划与建设,加强林业对新型城镇化的推动作用,实现二者协同发展.
Research on the Relationship between New Urbanization and Forestry Industry Structure——Taking Guizhou Province as an Example
To explore the relationship between the construction of new urbanization and the optimization of forestry industry structure, based on panel data from Guizhou Province from 2002 to 2021, the correlation coefficient between the development index of new urbanization and forestry industry structure was calculated, and a VAR model was constructed. The relationship between the two was analyzed using impulse response function and variance decomposition. The research results indicate that there is a long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship and Granger causality relationship between the construction of new urbanization and the optimization of forestry industry structure in Guizhou Province. The construction of new urbanization has a positive promoting effect on the forestry industry structure, and the development of forestry industry also affect, the trend of new urbanization construction. Moreover, emphasizing only one of the two development is not sustainable. At present, the forestry industry structure in Guizhou Province is relatively good, but the construction of new urbanization is insufficient. Reasonable planning and construction of new urbanization can be carried out to strengthen the role of forestry in promoting new urbanization and achieve coordinated development.

杨睿、李骁、陈波

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贵州大学 建筑与城市规划学院,贵州 贵阳 550025

新型城镇化 林业产业结构 VAR模型 脉冲响应函数 方差分解

贵州大学培育项目

GDYB2022001

2024

生产力研究
中国生产力学会 山西省生产力学会

生产力研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.492
ISSN:1004-2768
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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