四川冶金2024,Vol.46Issue(1) :1-8.

气候变化与区域老年人口增减分化:以成渝地区双城经济圈为例

Climate change and differentiation of regional elderly population:a case study of Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle

杜思远 周鹏 白帆
四川冶金2024,Vol.46Issue(1) :1-8.

气候变化与区域老年人口增减分化:以成渝地区双城经济圈为例

Climate change and differentiation of regional elderly population:a case study of Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle

杜思远 1周鹏 1白帆1
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作者信息

  • 1. 四川旅游学院四川省哲学社会科学重大研究基地"文旅融合研究中心",四川 成都 610000
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摘要

成渝地区双城经济圈是我国老龄化严重的区域之一,利用 Arcgis 软件和空间相关性模型分析发现,10 年间成渝地区双城经济圈人口老龄化程度进一步加深,区域差异逐渐扩大.影响老龄化的因素众多,本文着重探讨区域降水量对人口老龄化程度的影响.根据空间杜宾模型的实证结果,显示降水量确实影响该区域人口老龄化程度,且降水量的增加将使得区域人口老龄化程度降低,进一步的稳健性检验也验证了这一观点.最后,从优化养老服务设施布局和改善养老服务质量等方面提出对策建议.

Abstract

The Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle is one of the regions with serious aging in China.Using Arcgis software and spatial correlation model analysis,it is found that the population aging degree of the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle has further deepened in the past 10 years,and the regional differences have gradually expanded.There are many factors affecting aging.This paper focuses on the influence of regional precipitation on the degree of population aging.According to the empirical results of the spatial Durbin model,precipitation does affect the degree of population aging in the region,and the increase of precipitation will reduce the degree of population ag-ing in the region.Further robustness test also verifies this view.Finally,it puts forward countermeasures and sug-gestions from the aspects of optimizing the layout of old-age service facilities and improving the quality of old-age service.

关键词

人口老龄化/空间分布/气候变化/成渝地区双城经济圈

Key words

aging/spatial distribution/climate change/chengdu-chongqing economic circle

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金委2023年度面上项目(42371437)

2023年四川省大学生创新训练计划项目()

出版年

2024
四川冶金
四川省冶金情报标准研究所

四川冶金

影响因子:0.165
ISSN:1001-5108
参考文献量21
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