首页|地理、集聚经济与人口空间分布的长期演变

地理、集聚经济与人口空间分布的长期演变

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基于1776-2010 年地区层面人口数据,从地理与集聚经济两个视角考察中国人口空间分布的演变及其驱动力.研究发现:(1)无论是在封建农业社会,还是在现代工业社会,中国人口空间分布都具有不均匀的特征,并且随着近代工业化的开始,不均匀程度出现进一步加剧的趋势;(2)理论和实证分析结果表明自然地理和集聚经济是影响人口空间分布不均匀的重要因素,同时,这两个因素的相对重要性也随着时间而变化,地理因素在早期占主导地位,近代工业化启动后,集聚经济的作用日益凸显.人口集聚是经济和自然规律作用下的结果,政府应努力破除阻碍人口流动的制度性因素,鼓励人口自由流动,以充分发挥以大城市为中心的都市圈的经济增长极作用,从而实现经济的高质量发展.
Geography,Agglomeration Economy and Long Term Evolution of Population Spatial Distribution
Based on the prefecture-level population data from 1776 to 2010,this paper examines the evolution and driving forces of China's population spatial distribution from the perspectives of geography and agglomeration economy.The results show that:(1)whether in the early feudal agricultural society or the modern industrial society,the spatial distribution of China's population is uneven,and with the beginning of modern industrialization,the degree of inequality has further intensified;(2)theoretical and empirical analysis shows that physical geography and agglomeration economy are important factors affecting the uneven spatial distribution of popula-tion.At the same time,the relative importance of these two factors also changed with time.Geo-graphical factors dominated in the early stage.After the start of modern industrialization,the role of agglomeration economy became increasingly prominent.This paper holds that the agglomeration of population in space is the result of economic and natural laws.The government should try to get rid of the institutional factors that hinder the flow of population,encourage the free flow of population,and give full play to the role of economic growth pole of metropolitan area with big cities as the center,so as to achieve high-quality economic development.

Population's DistributionGeographyAgglomeration Economy

陈志龙

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江西财经大学 经济学院,江西 南昌 330013

人口分布 地理 集聚经济

2024

人口与发展
北京大学

人口与发展

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.626
ISSN:1674-1668
年,卷(期):2024.30(1)
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