数字乡村视角下老龄化与农村家庭消费研究——来自数字乡村指数与中国家庭金融追踪调查的证据
Research on Aging and Rural Household Consumption from the Perspective of Digital Village——Evidence from the Index of Digital Rural County and the China Household Finance Survey
孙晓琳 1赵佳佳 2刘天军1
作者信息
- 1. 西北农林科技大学 经济管理学院,陕西 咸阳 712100
- 2. 中国信息通信研究院 政策与经济研究所,北京 100191;北京大学 中国农业政策研究中心,北京 100091
- 折叠
摘要
在人口老龄化进一步加深和国内消费需求持续低迷的背景下,充分挖掘农村家庭的消费潜力成为我国提升市场内需、构建国内大循环的重要内容.基于 2018 年北京大学数字乡村指数和 2019 年中国家庭金融调查的匹配数据,实证检验了老龄化对农村家庭消费的影响,并进一步探讨数字乡村发展影响老龄化与农村家庭消费的调节效应和异质性.得出以下结论:第一,老龄化显著抑制了农村家庭消费;第二,数字乡村发展整体而言对老龄化与农村家庭消费之间的关系具有负向调节作用,但该负向调节作用具有群体异质性.具体而言,数字乡村发展缓解了东北部地区、低保户特征家庭老龄化对家庭消费的负面作用.结论表明,现阶段数字乡村发展在缓解农村地区老龄化对家庭消费负面冲击的作用有限,推进数字乡村发展从保障数字弱势群体、增加公共服务等角度入手可能更有助于促进农村消费.
Abstract
Under the background of the further aging of the population and the continuous sluggish domestic consumption demand,it has become important content for China to fully explore the consumption potential of rural families to enhance domestic demand and build the domestic cycle.Based on the matching data of Index of Digital Rural County 2018 and China Household Finance Survey,this paper empirically tests the influence of aging on rural household consump-tion,and further explores the moderating effect and heterogeneity of digital rural development on aging and rural household consumption.The result shows that:(1)Aging has a significantly negative influence on rural household consumption.(2)On the whole,digital rural development has a negative moderating effect on the relationship between aging and rural household consumption,but the negative moderating effect has group heterogeneity.Specifically,digital rural development alleviates the negative effect of aging on household consumption in northeast regions and households with subsistence allowances samples.The conclusion shows that:at present,the role of digital rural development in alleviating the negative impact of aging on household consumption in rural areas is limited,and promoting digital rural development from the perspective of protecting digitally vulnerable groups and increasing public services may be more conducive to promoting rural consumption.
关键词
数字乡村/老龄化/农村家庭消费Key words
Digital Rural/Aging/Rural Household Consumption引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点项目(71933005)
国家社会科学基金项目(22VRC152)
中国博士后科学基金第71批面上资助项目(2022M710208)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据