模型生命表与中国死亡模式差异分析
Analysis of Deviations in Mortality Patterns between Model Life Tables and China
李成 1刘悦2
作者信息
- 1. 安徽大学社会与政治学院,安徽 合肥 230601;浙江大学温州研究院,浙江 温州 325036
- 2. 杭州国际城市学研究中心/浙江省城市治理研究中心,浙江 杭州 311121
- 折叠
摘要
研究基于中国1982-2020 年人口普查和抽样调查,从静态和动态角度分析了Coale-Demeny、United Nations和中国区域三套模型生命表死亡模式和中国死亡模式的差异.结果表明:模型生命表死亡模式与中国死亡模式的差异受模型生命表的选择、性别和死亡水平的影响,但同一套模型生命表中各类模式与实际模式的偏差存在相似性.Coale-Demeny东区和西区模式、United Nations一般模式较为符合高死亡水平下的中国男性死亡模式;Coale-Demeny西区模式符合低死亡水平下的中国女性死亡模式;中国区域西南和华中-华东模式最为适合体现所有死亡水平下男女死亡模式.Coale-Demeny和United Nations模型生命表死亡率的降低模式和中国模式的差异较为接近,但中国区域模型生命表各类的下降模式与实际模式的差异存在明显区别.
Abstract
This paper analyzes the deviations in mortality patterns from three model life tables of Coale-Demeny,United Nations,and China Regional and China from static and dynamic perspectives based on China's population censuses and sample surveys from 1982 to 2020.The distinctions in mortality patterns between three types of model life tables and China are determined by the choice of model life tables,sex,and mortality levels,but the similarities still exist in the deviations of each model pattern from the actual pattern in the specific model life table.Coale-Demeny East and West families and United Nations General family are more consistent with Chinese male mortality pattern at high mortality levels,Coale-Demeny West family fits Chinese female mortality pattern at low mortality levels,China Regional Southwest and Central-Eastern families are the most appropriate to represent China's male and female mortality patterns at all mortality levels.The deviations of mortality decline patterns of Coale-Demeny and United Nations model life tables from China's pattern are similar,but that of different families in China Regional model life table from the actual pattern is significantly distinctive.
关键词
死亡率/死亡模式/模型生命表/差异分析Key words
Mortality Rates/Mortality Patterns/Model Life Tables/Analysis of Deviations引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目(22CRK015)
国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BRK040)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据