Spatial-temporal Evolution Pattern and Elderly Care Resources Strategy of Elderly-care Burden in China
Due to the differences in economic development,natural population growth,and migration,the process of entering an aging society and the burden of elderly care vary among Chinese provinces.From a regional perspective,the analysis of provincial elderly-care burdens and resources is helpful for proactive resource planning and social development decision-making of population aging.This study takes 31 provincial administrative units as the research objects,combines the population data of the fifth,sixth,and seventh censuses with the corresponding socioeconomic statistics,uses spatial analysis technology to identify the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and trends of the elderly-care burden,and employs the Geographical Detector to explain the resource response status of the elderly-care burden in different regions.The results are as follows:(1)The overall trend of China's elderly-care burden is rising and accelerating,with an obvious trend towards high aging.The elderly-care burden in China has significant spatial agglomeration,but the agglomeration trend is weakening.(2)Compared with the period from 2000 to 2010,the growth rate of elderly-care burden in the western region slowed down from 2010 to 2020,while it intensified in the eastern region.The elderly-care burden in urban and rural areas is inverted,and there are provincial differences in the elderly-care burden across different age groups.(3)The spatial matching degree of various elderly care resources and elderly-care burden still needs to be improved,and the spatial distribution consistency of medical resources,elderly care facilities,government support,and pension finance with the total elderly-care burden is gradually weakening.In terms of age,the spatial matching degree of elderly-care burden and elderly care resources for the oldest-old is the worst.
Elderly-care BurdenSpatial-temporal EvolutionElderly Care ResourcesGeographical Detector