人口与发展2024,Vol.30Issue(6) :74-86.

基于贫困脆弱性形成机制的家庭返贫风险分析

Risk Analysis of Returning to Family Poverty Based on the Formation Mechanism of Poverty Vulnerability

吴开亚 郑睿 李婷婷
人口与发展2024,Vol.30Issue(6) :74-86.

基于贫困脆弱性形成机制的家庭返贫风险分析

Risk Analysis of Returning to Family Poverty Based on the Formation Mechanism of Poverty Vulnerability

吴开亚 1郑睿 1李婷婷1
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作者信息

  • 1. 复旦大学 社会发展与公共政策学院,上海 200433
  • 折叠

摘要

家庭贫困脆弱性是衡量家庭返贫风险的重要视角.通过对家庭贫困脆弱性形成机制的分析,构建了家庭贫困脆弱性评价指标体系,根据中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)等数据,采用基于加速遗传算法的模糊层次分析法(AGA-FAHP)和集对分析(SPA)联系数综合集成算法测度了我国省域家庭贫困脆弱性水平,结果表明经济水平、家庭差异、收支结构是影响家庭返贫风险差异的重要因素.最后还提出了降低家庭贫困脆弱性、防范化解家庭返贫风险的政策建议.

Abstract

Family poverty vulnerability is an important perspective for measuring the risk of family returning to poverty.Based on the understanding of the formation mechanism of family poverty vulnerability,the evaluation index system of family poverty vulnerability is constructed.Using data from sources such as the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),the comprehensive integration algorithm of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(AGA-FAHP)based on accelerated genetic algorithm and set pair analysis(SPA)contact number is used to measure the vulnerability of family poverty and estimate the risk of returning to poverty.The results show that provincial economic levels,household differences,and income-expenditure structures are key factors affecting the differences in the risk of households falling back into poverty.Finally,policy recommendations are proposed to reduce the vulnerability of family poverty and eliminate the risk of returning to poverty.

关键词

返贫风险/共同富裕/贫困脆弱性/集对分析

Key words

Risk of Poverty Return/Common Prosperity/Poverty and Vulnerability/Set Pair Analysis

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出版年

2024
人口与发展
北京大学

人口与发展

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.626
ISSN:1674-1668
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