首页|受教育水平、初婚年龄与生育水平——基于适龄人口性别差异视角

受教育水平、初婚年龄与生育水平——基于适龄人口性别差异视角

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教育推动了社会经济的发展进步,但受教育水平对适龄人口婚育水平的影响仍然有待检验.研究使用2003-2017 年CGSS数据进行实证分析,分别探讨了受教育水平对不同性别群体婚育决策的影响.结果表明,其一,现阶段我国适龄人口的受教育水平提高对结婚和生育行为均会产生抑制作用,且对男性抑制效果略大于女性;其二,地区经济发展弱化了婚育的教育负梯度关系,农村传统的婚姻制度和"传宗接代"观念受教育冲击作用得以弱化;其三,劳动力市场冲击导致教育-生育数量之间的梯度关系出现了由负转正的情况;其四,受教育水平的提升可通过初婚年龄的延迟影响生育水平,且男性的教育-婚育负梯度的效应强于女性.研究为我国大龄"剩男、剩女"现象和生育政策持续遇冷提供了多重分析视角.
Education,First Marriage Age,and Fertility Level——Based on the Perspective of Gender Differences in the Eligible Population
Education has driven socio-economic development and progress,yet the impact of education levels on marriage and fertility rates among the eligible population remains insuffi-ciently examined.This study employs empirical analysis using data from the Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)spanning 2003 to 2017 to investigate how education levels influence marriage and fertility decisions across different gender groups.The findings reveal that,first,the current increase in education levels among the eligible population in China suppresses both marriage and fertility behaviors,with a slightly stronger suppressive effect on males than females.Second,regional economic development mitigates the negative educational gradient relationship with marriage and fertility,weakening the impact of education on traditional rural marriage systems and the notion of"continuing the family line".Third,labor market shocks have led to a reversal in the educational gradient relationship with fertility,changing from negative to positive.Fourth,rising education levels can delay the age of first marriage,thereby influencing fertility rates,with the negative educational gradient effect on marriage and fertility being stronger for males than females.This article provides multiple analytical perspectives on the phenomenon of"older unmarried men and women"and the ongoing lukewarm response to fertility policies in China.

Eligible PopulationEducationFirst Marriage AgeFertility

田珺、完颜含玥

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黑龙江大学 经济与工商管理学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150080

黑龙江大学 法学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150080

适龄人口 受教育水平 初婚年龄 生育

2024

人口与发展
北京大学

人口与发展

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.626
ISSN:1674-1668
年,卷(期):2024.30(6)