山东财经大学学报2024,Vol.36Issue(1) :98-110.

科创板上市公司的信用风险体系构建、评价与组态分析——基于DBN-SEM-fsQCA方法

Construction,Evaluation and Configuration Analysis of Credit Risk System of Listed Companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board:Based on DBN-SEM-fsQCA Method

周志刚 黄运聪 窦路遥
山东财经大学学报2024,Vol.36Issue(1) :98-110.

科创板上市公司的信用风险体系构建、评价与组态分析——基于DBN-SEM-fsQCA方法

Construction,Evaluation and Configuration Analysis of Credit Risk System of Listed Companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board:Based on DBN-SEM-fsQCA Method

周志刚 1黄运聪 1窦路遥2
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作者信息

  • 1. 山西财经大学信息学院,山西太原 030006
  • 2. 山西财经大学信息学院,山西太原 030006;安徽省农村信用社联合社,安徽合肥 230000
  • 折叠

摘要

注册制逐步推广与高技术型产业特性使得科创板上市公司的信用风险评价日趋复杂.研究通过DBN-SEM-fsQCA的方法组合,实现对科创板上市公司信用风险体系的构建、评价与组态分析.研究结果表明:基于DBN选取的关键财务指标能够准确反映科创板上市公司的信用风险情况;在SEM视角下,盈利能力与信用风险联系密切,偿债能力、成长能力、营运能力与信用风险显著相关;基于组态视角,科创板上市公司的信用风险模式主要分为成长导向型、成长缺失与营运主导型、盈利与成长互补型、盈利导向型四种类型.为此,科创板上市公司可以通过扩大产业规模来获取市场份额优势,或者增加技术研发投入来取得超额利润,以及联合城市区位条件来实现信用风险的多层次把控.

Abstract

The gradual promotion of registration system and the characteristics of high-tech industry have made the credit risk assessment of the listed companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board increasingly complex.By means of the combined DBN-SEM-fsQCA methods,this study achieves the construction,evaluation and configuration analysis of the credit risk system of the listed companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board.The research results indicate that the key financial indicators selected based on DBN can accurately reflect the credit risk situation of the listed companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board.From the SEM perspective,profit ability is closely related to credit risk with a path coefficient of up to 0.325 between them;and debt paying ability,growth ability and operational ability are significantly correlated with credit risk.Based on the perspective of configuration,the credit risk modes of the listed companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board are mainly divided into four types.Therefore,the listed companies on the Science and Technology Innovation Board can gain market share advantages by expanding their industrial scale,or obtain excess profits by increasing their investment in technology research and development,and achieve multi-level control of credit risk by combining their urban location conditions.

关键词

科创板上市公司/DBN/SEM/fsQCA/信用风险

Key words

listed company on the Science and Technology Innovation Board/DBN/SEM/FsQCA/credit risk

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基金项目

山西省哲学社会科学规划课题(2022YY097)

中国教育技术协会重点项目(XJJ202205014)

中国高等教育学会专项课题(21CJZD06)

出版年

2024
山东财经大学学报
山东财经大学

山东财经大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.554
ISSN:1008-2670
参考文献量34
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