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基于GIS分析的鲁中南低山丘陵区地质灾害风险评价

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为更好地开展山东省鲁中南低山丘陵区地质灾害综合防治工作,本文在地质灾害风险普查的基础上,运用信息量模型,结合GIS分析建立了区域地质灾害易发性和风险性评价体系.本次评价体系选取了地形坡度、起伏度等8个不同的评价指标,得出了地质灾害的易发性分级及分布范围.叠加研究区利用皮尔逊三型水文模型得到的不同重现期下的降水强度,进行危险性评价.危险性叠加易损性,得到风险性评价,为研究区地质灾害防治提供科学依据.结果显示,随着降水量的增大,地质灾害发生的概率就越大.
Geological Hazard Risk Assessment of Low Mountain and Hilly Areas of Central and Southern Shandong Province Based on GIS
In order to better carry out comprehensive prevention and control of geological hazards in low mountain and hilly areas of central and southern Shandong province,a regional geological hazard suscepti-bility and risk assessment system has been put forward based on geological hazard risk survey,information quantity model and GIS analysis.8 different evaluation indicators has selected,such as terrain slope and undulation,and the susceptibility classification and distribution range of geological hazards has been ob-tained.By overlaying the precipitation intensity obtained from Pearson's three type hydrological model at different return periods in the study area,hazard assessment has been carried out.The combination of dan-ger and vulnerability results in a risk assessment will provide a scientific basis for the prevention and con-trol of geological disasters in the study area.It is showed that as precipitation increasing,the probability of geological disasters occurring will increase.

GISsusceptibility assessmenthazard assessmentrisk assessmentcentral and southern Shan-dong province

王华锋、陈洪海、贾琛、马龙、亓贞才、张晓飞、马建伟、张晔

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山东省鲁南地质工程勘察院(山东省地质矿产勘查开发局第二地质大队),山东 济宁 272000

GIS 易发性评价 危险性评价 风险性评价 鲁中南

山东省地质环境监测总站山东省2021年自然灾害防治体系建设(地质灾害风险普查)项目

SDGP370000000202102010491

2024

山东国土资源
山东省地质科学实验研究院

山东国土资源

影响因子:0.385
ISSN:1672-6979
年,卷(期):2024.40(10)