山东工业技术2024,Issue(2) :42-47.DOI:10.16640/j.cnki.37-1222/t.2024.02.007

轨道交通对交通客流参数的技术效应分析

Analysis of Technical Effects of Rail Transit on Traffic Passenger Flow Parameters

叶丽敏 邱美华 施群
山东工业技术2024,Issue(2) :42-47.DOI:10.16640/j.cnki.37-1222/t.2024.02.007

轨道交通对交通客流参数的技术效应分析

Analysis of Technical Effects of Rail Transit on Traffic Passenger Flow Parameters

叶丽敏 1邱美华 1施群1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 福建农林大学金山学院,福建 福州 350002
  • 折叠

摘要

城市轨道交通与公交车在整个城市居民出行中占据主要地位,地铁的开通运营势必会对沿线公交及整个城市公交客流产生重要影响,进而需要重新进行优化配置公交线路,使其与地铁融合衔接,从而更加方便居民出行.本文以哈尔滨市作为研究对象,基于历年哈尔滨市公交车客流数据,借助MATLAB软件,运用灰色预测GM(1,1)方法,研究哈尔滨市公交车客流增长变化模型,在地铁开通后,公交实际客流与预测客流进行对比,结合常住人口的变化,可以分析地铁开通运营对公交车客流的具体影响,同时为其他城市公交车在地铁开通后的优化配置提供相关建议与借鉴.

Abstract

Urban rail transit and buses occupy a major position in the travel of urban residents,the opening and operation of the subway will inevitably have a significant impact on the passenger flow of public transportation along the line and the entire city.Therefore,it is necessary to optimize and reconfigure the bus routes to integrate and connect with the subway,making it more convenient for residents to travel.This article takes Harbin City as the research object,based on past years of bus passenger flow data in Harbin City,using MATLAB software and grey prediction GM(1,1)method,to study the trend model of bus passenger flow growth in Harbin City,After the opening of the subway,the actual passenger flow of public transportation is compared with the predicted passenger flow,and combined with changes in the permanent population,the specific impact of subway operation on bus passenger flow can be analyzed.At the same time,relevant suggestions and references can be provided for the optimization configuration of buses in other cities after the opening of the subway.

关键词

轨道交通/公交车/影响效应/灰色预测/优化调整

Key words

rail transit/buses/impact effect/grey prediction/optimization

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
山东工业技术

山东工业技术

ISSN:
段落导航相关论文