首页|基于关联规则的高速公路交通事故风险识别

基于关联规则的高速公路交通事故风险识别

扫码查看
高速公路交通事故各影响因素间的深层内在关系对于揭示事故发生的机理和规律有重要意义。文章通过选择社会网络分析、关联规则Apriori算法和可视化等方法,提出从宏观到微观的分层关联规则挖掘流程,并对Apriori算法输出的关联规则进行聚类和多维度交互作用下的分析,深入挖掘高速公路交通事故各影响因素间的关联规律,并识别事故风险。结果表明:不同路段在事故车道分布和事故形态上存在较大差异;Apriori算法能准确地解读多维度关联规则,识别小型客车、第一车道和晴天为影响高速公路交通事故的关键风险因素,撞护栏和追尾事故为主要事故形态,K227~K300 桩号区间存在着部分弯曲道路且与城区连接有较多的互通出入口,结合关联规则识别其为事故风险路段;研究证实了该流程可以有效识别事故风险,揭示事故机理,为高速公路行车安全水平的提升提供理论指导。
Expressway traffic accident risk identification based on association rules
The intricate relationship among the influencing factors of expressway traffic accidents is of great significance to reveal the mechanism and patterns behind these incidents.By employing methods such as social network analysis,the Apriori algorithm,and visualization,this study introduces a hierarchical association rule mining process that spans from macro to micro levels.It delves into the association rules derived from Apriori algorithm under clustering and multi-dimensional interaction,uncovering the association rules among various influencing factors of a expressway traffic accident.The results indicate significant variations in accident lane distributions and patterns across different road sections.Apriori algorithm can accurately deciphers multi-dimensional association rules,identify minibuses,the first lane and sunny days as the key risk factors affecting highway traffic accidents.It identifies guardrail collisions and rear-end collisions as prevalent accident types.Notably,the road section between markers K227 and K300,characterized by some curved stretches and multiple interchanges near urban areas,is recognized as a high-risk zone.The research proves that the process can effectively identify the accident risk,reveal the accident mechanism,and provide theoretical guidance for the improvement of expressway traffic safety.

traffic safetyexpressway traffic accidentsrisk identificationApriori Association Rule Algorithmcause of accident

李美玲、李子辉、陈雪珲、蔡涛、冉晋

展开 >

山东建筑大学 山东高校重点实验室道路与交通工程实验室,山东 济南 250101

山东高速股份有限公司,山东 济南 250014

中国铁建投资集团有限公司,北京 100855

新疆大学 交通运输工程学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

展开 >

交通安全 高速公路交通事故 风险识别 Apriori关联规则算法 事故致因

山东省交通运输科技计划新疆维吾尔自治区天池英才引进计划创新领军人才项目(2024)

2020B48

2024

山东建筑大学学报
山东建筑大学

山东建筑大学学报

影响因子:0.576
ISSN:1673-7644
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)
  • 10