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山东省经济与人口城镇化进程的比较研究

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经济与人口城镇化综合协调发展对实现新型城镇化高质量发展具有重要意义。文章基于经济与人口城镇化的内在关系,从时间和空间两个维度量化分析山东省经济与人口城镇化的总体特征、空间差异及相关性,阐明经济、人口城镇化的时空特征和关联趋势,探究山东省新型城镇化发展策略。结果表明:山东省经济城镇化水平较高,人口城镇化发展相对滞后;经济、人口城镇化呈现"两高两低两核心"的空间结构和"十"字形快速发展带;二者空间相关性为P>0。1、Z<1。65,局部空间具有差异化集聚态势,二者线性相关性不断减弱;基于不同地区的发展实际,以产业转型与人口转化为基本思路,采取差异化发展路径,实现经济与人口城镇化的良性发展。
A comparative study on economy and population urbanization in Shandong Province
The coordinated development of economy-population urbanization is crucial for achieving high-quality of new urbanization.Based on the intrinsic relationship of economy-population urbanization,this study conducts a quantitative analysis of the overall characteristics,spatial differences and correlations between economic and population urbanization in Shandong Province from the time and space series,and probes into the spatial-temporal characteristics and the correlation trend of economy-population urbanization,and explores the development strategy of new urbanization in Shandong Province.The results indicate that while the level of economic urbanization in Shandong Province is relatively high,population urbanization lags behind.The economic and population urbanization exhibit a spatial structure of"Two high,two low,two cores"alongside a"cross"shaped rapid development belt.The overall spatial correlation between the two shows P>0.1 and Z<1.65,indicating a localized pattern of differentiated clustering and a diminishing linear correlation over the time.Based on the actual development situation in different regions,Shandong Province should take industrial transformation and population transformation as the basic ideas,adopt a differentiated development paths to achieve a healthy development of economic-population urbanization.

economy urbanizationpopulation urbanizationtime dimensionspatial dimension

丁蔚、韩欣宇、毛欢

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北京清华同衡规划设计研究院有限公司 长三角分院,江苏 苏州 215000

山东建筑大学 建筑城规学院,山东 济南 250101

济南市规划设计研究院,山东 济南 250101

经济城镇化 人口城镇化 时间维度 空间维度

2024

山东建筑大学学报
山东建筑大学

山东建筑大学学报

影响因子:0.576
ISSN:1673-7644
年,卷(期):2024.39(6)