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Wave height forecast method with uncertainty quantification based on Gaussian process regression

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Wave height forecast method with uncertainty quantification based on Gaussian process regression
Wave height forecast(WHF)is of great significance to exploit the marine renewables and improve the safety of ship navigation at sea.With the development of machine learning technology,WHF can be realized in an easy-to-operate and reliable way,which improves its engineering practicability.This paper utilizes a data-driven method,Gaussian process regression(GPR),to model and predict the wave height on the basis of the input and output data.With the help of Bayes inference,the prediction results contain the uncertainty quantification naturally.The comparative studies are carried out to evaluate the performance of GPR based on the simulation data generated by high-order spectral method and the experimental data collected in the deep-water towing tank at the Shanghai Ship and Shipping Research Institute.The results demonstrate that GPR is able to model and predict the wave height with acceptable accuracy,making it a potential choice for engineering application.

Wave height forecastdata-driven modelingGaussian process regression(GPR)bayes inferencecovariance function

Zi-lu Ouyang、Chao-fan Li、Ke Zhan、Chuan-qing Li、Ren-chuan Zhu、Zao-jian Zou

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School of Ocean and Civil Engineering,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200240,China

State Key Laboratory of Navigation and Safety Technology,Shanghai Ship and Shipping Research Institute CO.,Ltd,Shanghai 200135,China

State Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200240,China

Wave height forecast data-driven modeling Gaussian process regression(GPR) bayes inference covariance function

2024

水动力学研究与进展B辑
中国船舶科学研究中心

水动力学研究与进展B辑

CSTPCDEI
影响因子:0.596
ISSN:1001-6058
年,卷(期):2024.36(5)