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三产融合发展水平的测度及影响因素研究

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本文基于三产融合的内涵及特征,从产业发展、产业链延伸、农业多功能性、技术渗透和农民增收等五个维度科学构建农村三产融合发展水平指标体系,选取2000-2019年31个省份的面板数据,运用熵权TOPSIS模型对我国各省份三产融合的发展水平进行测度,并采用动态面板模型探究三产融合发展水平的影响因素.研究发现,从总体上看,样本期间我国三产融合发展水平呈递增趋势,但增长速度缓慢;从区域上看,四大区域的三产融合发展水平差距缩小,且西部地区增长显著,东北三省也处于较高发展水平;通过系统GMM发现,三产融合发展水平具有显著的惯性特征,前一期的三产融合发展水平会对后一期的三产融合发展水平产生推动作用,技术支撑和政府支持也会对三产融合发展水平产生显著的积极影响,城乡收入差距和第一产业从业人员比重则会对三产融合发展产生显著的消极影响.最后,基于本文的研究结果提出了相应的对策建议.
A Research on the Measurement and Influencing Factors of the Development Level of the Integra-tion of the Primary,Secondary and Tertiary Industries
Based on the connotation and characteristics of the integration of the primary,secondary and tertiary industries,this article scientifically constructs an indicator system for the development level of the inte-gration of industries in rural areas from such five dimensions.as the industrial development,industrial chain extension,agricultural versatility,technology penetration and farmers'income increase.It selects the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to2019,uses the entropy weight TOPSIS model to measure the development level of the industry integration in each province,and uses the dynamic panel model to explore the influencing factors of the integration's development level.The study shows that,on the whole,during the sample period,China's industry integration development level showed an increasing trend,but the growth rate was slow;seen from the regional perspective,the gap between the four regions in terms of the level of development of the integration of the three industries has been narrowed,with a significant growth in the western region and a comparatively high development level in three northeastern provinces;the system GMM estimation results shows that the development level of industry integration has significant inertia,in which the development level in the previous phase will promote the next phase,and technical support and government support also have a significant positive impact on the development level of the industry integration,while the urban-rural income gap and the proportion of employees in the pri-mary industry have a significantly negative impact on the development of the industry integration.Finally,corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward based on the research results.

刘成坤、廖诗睿

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江西财经大学统计与数据科学学院,江昌南昌,330013

厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门,361005

三产融合发展 商权TOPSIS 动态面板模型 系统GMM

国家自然科学基金

72063009

2024

山东农业大学学报(社会科学版)
山东农业大学

山东农业大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.36
ISSN:1008-8091
年,卷(期):2024.26(1)
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