摘要
农业机械化与农村劳动力转移是农民收入增长的两个重要影响因素,通过对农业机械化、农村劳动力转移与农民收入增长关系的研究,可以为"三农"问题和缩小城乡差距问题提供参考与借鉴.在现有研究基础上,使用VAR模型进行多变量分析.认为农村劳动力转移、农业机械化与农民收入增长之间存在长期均衡关系,农村劳动力转移与农民收入增长以及农业机械化与农民收入增长之间存在单向格兰杰因果关系.基于此,需要制定农村劳动力转移支持政策,发挥农村劳动力转移的示范效应,加强农业机械的推广与运用,落实农业机械化扶持政策.
Abstract
Agricultural mechanization and rural labors transfer are two important factors influencing the growth of farmers'income.The study of the relationship among agricultural mechanization,rural labors transfer,and farmers'income growth can provide reference and inspiration for"san nong"problems or problems of farmers,agriculture and rural development(FAR)as well as narrowing the urban-rural gap.Based on existing research,this paper adopted VAR model for multivariate analysis.It is believed that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among rural labors transfer,agricultural mechanization and farmers'income growth.The relationship between rural labors transfer and farmers'income growth is a one-way Granger causality,and the relationship between agricultural mechanization and farmers'income growth is also a one-way Granger causality.Thus,it is necessary to formulate support policies for rural labors transfer,leverage the demonstration effect of rural labors transfer,strengthen the promotion and applica-tion of agricultural machinery,and implement support policies for agricultural mechanization.
基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(20YJCZH028)
安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题(2021CX047)
安徽省高校人文科学研究项目(SK2021A0641)
安徽省高校优秀拔尖人才培育项目(gxbjZD2022062)
NETL
NSTL
万方数据