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近50年来细河流域降水量的时空变化

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为合理利用区域降水资源,依据细河流域5个雨量站点近50年(1966~2015年)的降水观测资料,结合线性倾向法、累积距平法分析了细河流域近50年来降水量的变化趋势;再采用Mann-Kendall法分析其降水量的突变现象;最后采用空间插值法分析其空间分布特征.结果表明,细河流域降水量主要集中于夏季,占全年降水量的83%;从季节变化趋势看,5站的四季变化趋势各有不同,但冬季大部分站点呈上升趋势变化;根据Mann-Kendall检验计算,细河流域降水量平均Z值为0.659,降水量随时间呈上升趋势变化,且5个站点均有突变点;空间分布亦不均匀,整体呈由东南向西北减少的趋势.研究结果为该区降水量管理提供了科学依据.
Spatiotemporal Distribution of Precipitation in Xihe Basin over the Last 50 Years
Based on the precipitation observation data of 5 precipitation stations in Xihe basin in recent 50 years (1966-2015 years),linear trend method,moving average method and cumulative anomaly analysis were used to analyze the variation trend of precipitation for reasonably utilizing regional precipitation resources.And then the abrupt change of precipitation was analyzed by the Mann-Kendall method.Finally,the characteristics of spatial distribution were analyzed by using spatial interpolation method.We found that the precipitation in Xihe Basin mainly concentrated in the summer,and it accounts for 83% of the annual precipitation;for the seasonal variation trend,5 stations is different in the four seasons change trend,but most of stations show upward trend in winter;according to the Mann-Kendall test,average precipitation Z values in Xihe basin is 0.659,precipitation appear upward trend with time,and five stations have sudden change point;the spatial distribution is uneven,overall it decreases from southeast to northwest.The results provide a scientific basis for management of precipitation in this area.

Xihe riverprecipitationvariation trendspatial distribution

朱正如、韩露、吕乐婷、张金风

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辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院,辽宁大连116029

细河 降水量 变化趋势 空间分布

辽宁师范大学青年科研项目

LS2014L013

2017

水电能源科学
中国水力发电工程学会 华中科技大学 武汉国测三联水电设备有限公司

水电能源科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.525
ISSN:1000-7709
年,卷(期):2017.35(1)
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