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晋西黄土丘陵区圪洞流域洪水演变特征及其贡献因素

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为研究晋西黄土丘陵区圪洞流域洪水演变特征及其贡献因素,依据圪洞水文站1964~2015年的实测洪水资料,利用长序列资料、M-K检验法以及累积量斜率变化率比较法进行了分析.结果表明,相同级别雨量和雨强下,人类活动有效地衰减了洪水要素,洪量、洪峰流量的衰减幅度分别为7.69%~81.79%、2.42%~78.78%,滞时增长率达31.7%以上;不同级别雨量和雨强下,人类活动对40~50 mm雨量和8~11mm/h雨强下的洪水要素影响最大;以1980~1989年为天然基准期,降水和人类活动对洪水变化的贡献率在1990~1999年间分别为33.09%和66.91%,在2000~2015年间分别为25.28%和74.72%,表明自1990年以来,流域洪水变化主要受人类活动影响.研究结果可为当地防洪减灾提供依据.
Characteristics of Flood Evolution and Their Contribution Factors in Gedong Basin of Loess Hilly Region in Western Shanxi Province
In order to investigate the characteristics of flood evolution and its contribution factors in the Gedong basin of loess hilly region in western Shanxi,long series data,M-K test method and comparative method of slope changing ratio of cumulative quantity were used to analyze the measured flood data from 1964 to 2015 in Gedong hydrological station.The results show that at the same level of rainfall and rainfall intensity,human activities effectively attenuated the flood elements;flood volume and peak flow attenuation were 7.69 %-81.79 %,2.42 %-78.78 %,and the hysteresis growth rate was above 31.7%;under different levels of rainfall and rainfall intensity,human activities had the greatest impact on flooding factors at 40-50 mm and 8-11 mm/h;taking 1980-1989 as the natural base period,the contribution rates of precipitation and human activities to flood changes were 33.09% and 66.91% respectively between 1990-1999,25.28% and 74.72 % respectively between 2000-2015.This indicated that since the 1990,the changes of flood were mainly affected by human activities.The results can provide basis for local flood control and disaster reduction.

characteristics of flood evolutiondifferent levels of rainfalldifferent rainfall intensityattenuationhuman activitiescontribution rate

任娟慧、郑秀清、赵雪花、陈军锋、李爱民、陈彦平

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太原理工大学水利科学与工程学院,山西太原030024

山西省水文水资源勘测局,山西太原030001

洪水演变特征 不同级别雨量 不同强度降雨 衰减幅度 人类活动 贡献率

山西省水文水资源勘测局项目

ZNGZ2015-036

2017

水电能源科学
中国水力发电工程学会 华中科技大学 武汉国测三联水电设备有限公司

水电能源科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.525
ISSN:1000-7709
年,卷(期):2017.35(11)
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