首页|基于SSA-LSTM模型的水电站能效综合评价方法

基于SSA-LSTM模型的水电站能效综合评价方法

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随着我国电力体制改革不断深化,水电已告别传统粗放型发展模式,亟需配套更为成熟、通用的能效评价体系指导水电运行调度工作.因此,提出一种基于深度学习的水电站能效综合评价方法,引入长短期记忆网络(LSTM)构建水电站理论发电量模型,对于给定的原始发电序列,利用奇异谱分析(SSA)提取出其趋势项、周期项及噪声,对前二者分别构建 LSTM网络模拟后叠加得到理论发电量计算结果,在此基础上提出相对增发效益指标、能效相对提高率指标,利用熵权法得到水电站综合得分值,进而对南部某省 12 座电站进行能效评价.结果表明,该方法可以充分反映水电在调度运行中的能效特点,研究结果对优化水电站调度策略、提高水电调度水平具有借鉴意义.
Comprehensive Evaluation Method of Energy Efficiency of Hydropower Station Based on SSA-LSTM Model
With the deepening of China's power system reform,hydropower has bid farewell to the traditional exten-sive development model,so it is urgent to support a more mature and general energy efficiency evaluation system to guide hydropower operation and dispatching.In this paper,a comprehensive evaluation method of energy efficiency of hydro-power stations based on deep learning was proposed.A long short-term memory(LSTM)network was introduced to construct a theoretical power generation model of hydropower stations.For the given original power generation sequence,the trend term,period term and noise were extracted by singular spectrum analysis(SSA).The LSTM network was built separately for the first two terms,and the theoretical power generation was obtained by superimposing the simulation re-sults.On this basis,the relative increase benefit index and the relative energy efficiency improvement rate index were proposed.The comprehensive score value of the hydropower station was obtained by using the entropy weight method.Finally,12 power stations in a Southern Province were taken as examples to evaluate energy efficiency.Experiments show that this method can fully reflect the energy efficiency characteristics of hydropower in dispatching operation.This study has reference significance for optimizing the dispatching strategy of hydropower stations and improving the level of hydropower dispatching.

hydropower stationtheoretical power generationenergy efficiency evaluationsingular spectrum analy-sislong short-term memory network

闫孟婷、陶湘明、王胜军、金艳、黄炜斌、马光文

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四川大学水利水电学院,四川 成都 610065

中国电建集团成都勘测设计研究院有限公司,四川 成都 610072

国家电投集团水电产业创新中心,湖南 长沙 410004

水电站 理论发电量 能效评价 奇异谱分析 长短期记忆网络

国家重点研发计划国家重点研发计划

2016YFC04022082018YFB0905204

2024

水电能源科学
中国水力发电工程学会 华中科技大学 武汉国测三联水电设备有限公司

水电能源科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.525
ISSN:1000-7709
年,卷(期):2024.42(2)
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