首页|基于流溪河模型的任河流域城口段暴雨洪水模拟

基于流溪河模型的任河流域城口段暴雨洪水模拟

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为准确、有效地预报任河流域城口段暴雨洪水,以DEM、土地利用和土壤类型数据为基础,利用流溪河模型构建任河流域 3 级河道模型,选取 20190627 暴雨洪水手动优选模型参数,借助 20170923、20180919 暴雨洪水验证模型适用性;考虑降雨移动方向,利用优选模型模拟 12 h降雨量为 30、60、90、120、150 mm等 5 种情景洪水流量,分析各情景模拟特征.结果表明,参数优选后,20190627 暴雨洪水洪峰误差减至 2.79%,峰现时间提前 5 h,模型模拟效果显著提升.20170923、20180919 两次暴雨洪水洪峰误差小于 20%、峰现误差小于 3 h,满足模拟精度要求,流溪河模型可用于研究区暴雨洪水模拟.多情景下,30、60 mm 降雨洪峰流量均小于150 m3/s;从 90 mm降雨开始,洪峰流量急剧增加,增长率高达 94.17%;降雨由上游往下游移动时洪水曲线至少出现 1 次峰值,反之洪水曲线仅有 1 次峰值,降雨量每增加 30 mm,峰现时间提前 1 h.流溪河模型在任河流域具有较好适用性,多情景模拟结果可为城口县设置暴雨洪水防治措施提供多视角支持.
Simulation of Storm Flood in Chengkou Section of Renhe River Basin Based on Liuxi River Model
In order to accurately and effectively forecast the rainstorm flood in the Chengkou section of the Renhe Riv-er Basin,based on DEM,land use and soil type data,a 3-level channel model of the Renhe River Basin was constructed u-sing the Liuxi River model.The parameters of the 20190627 rainstorm flood were manually optimized.With the help of 20170923 and 20180919 rainstorm floods,the applicability of the model was verified.Considering the direction of rainfall movement,the optimized model was used to simulate the flood flow of five scenarios with 12-hour rainfall of 30,60,90,120,and 150 mm,and the simulation characteristics of each scenario were analyzed.The results show that after optimi-zing the parameters,the peak error of the 20190627 storm flood is reduced to 2.79%,the peak time is 5 hours earlier,and the simulation effect of the model is significantly improved.The peak error of the 20170923 and 20180919 storm floods is less than 20%,and the peak error is less than 3 hours,meeting the simulation accuracy requirements.The Li-uxihe model can be used for storm flood simulation in the study area.Under multiple scenarios,the flood peak discharge of 30 and 60 mm rainfall is less than 150 m3/s;Starting from 90 mm rainfall,the flood peak discharge increases sharply,with a growth rate as high as 94.17%;When the rainfall moves from upstream to downstream,the flood curve has at least one peak;On the contrary,the flood curve has only one peak,and the peak time will be advanced by 1 hour for ev-ery 30 mm increase in rainfall.The Liuxi River model has good applicability in the Renhe River Basin,and the multi-sce-nario simulation results can provide multi-perspective support for the storm flood prevention and control measures in Chengkou county.

storm floodLiuxi river modelRenhe river basinmulti-scenario simulationChengkou county

谢向东、林孝松、李宏伟、张吉祥、涂荣誉、程宏莉

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重庆交通大学智慧城市学院, 重庆 400074

重庆交通大学建筑与城市规划学院, 重庆 400074

重庆市城口县气象局, 重庆 405900

重庆市云阳县气象局, 重庆 404500

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暴雨洪水 流溪河模型 任河流域 多情景模拟 城口县

国家自然科学基金项目重庆市基础研究与前沿探索项目重庆市气象部门业务技术攻关项目

41601564CSTC2018JCYJAX0156YWJSGG-202218

2024

水电能源科学
中国水力发电工程学会 华中科技大学 武汉国测三联水电设备有限公司

水电能源科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.525
ISSN:1000-7709
年,卷(期):2024.42(3)
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