基于DPSIR-对称交互熵的泰安市水—城地人产系统协调性评价
Evaluation of Coordination of Water-People-Land-Industry-City System in Tai'an City Based on DPSIR-Symmetric Cross-entropy Method
潘慧民 1门宝辉 1王红瑞 2李一阳 2李永坤 3王丽晶3
作者信息
- 1. 华北电力大学水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206
- 2. 北京师范大学水科学研究院,北京 100875
- 3. 北京市水科学技术研究院,北京 100048
- 折叠
摘要
为将四水四定落到实处,构建了基于DPSIR-对称交互熵的水—城地人产系统评价模型,通过构建山东省泰安市评价指标体系,开展协调性发展综合评价,进而建立耦合协调度模型评价各子系统间发展协调性.研究表明,各子系统综合评价值呈现波动上升趋势,其中状态(S)和响应(R)子系统波动上升趋势最为稳定,最不稳定的为压力(P)子系统;按照历年系统耦合协调度将 2006 年以来泰安市水—城地人产系统发展划分为过渡阶段(2006～2010 年)、协调发展阶段(2011～2019 年)、高质量发展阶段(2020 年以后);宁阳县、东平县协调度仍有待提高,未来应当着重推进泰安市水网建设、供、用水结构优化和产业结构升级等工作.研究结果可为泰安市国土空间规划及水利高质量发展提供支持.
Abstract
To implement the"Basing Four Aspect on Water Resources"strategy,a water-human-land-industry-city system evaluation model based on the DPSIR-symmetric interaction entropy was constructed.Using Tai'an City in Shan-dong Province as an example,by constructing an evaluation index system,a comprehensive evaluation of coordinated de-velopment was carried out.And then a coupling coordination development model was established to evaluate the develop-ment coordination degree among various subsystems.The research showed that the comprehensive evaluation values of each subsystem showed a fluctuating upward trend.Among them,the state(S)and response(R)subsystems showed the most stable fluctuating upward trend,while the pressure(P)subsystem was the most unstable;According to the his-torical system coupling coordination,the development of the water-human-land-industry-city system in Tai'an City since 2006 was divided into the transitional stage(2006-2010),the coordinated development stage(2011-2019),and the high-quality development stage(after 2020);The coordination degree of Ningyang County and Dongping County still needs to be improved.In the future,emphasis should be placed on promoting the construction of Tai'an City's water network,opti-mizing the water supply and demand structure,and upgrading the industrial structure.The above study can provide sup-port for Tai'an City's land and space planning as well as high-quality development of water resources.
关键词
四水四定/DPSIR模型/对称交互熵/耦合协调度模型/协调性评价Key words
basing four aspect on water resources/DPSIR model/symmetrical cross-entropy/coupling coordination degree model/coordination evaluation引用本文复制引用
基金项目
济南市财政水务科技创新专项(JNSWKJ202001)
国家自然科学基金(52279005)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据