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云南高原金沙江干支流水沙相关性分析

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云南省境内的金沙江流域覆盖全省主要的经济、政治地域,金沙江虎跳峡河段是正在开工建设的滇中引水工程的水源区,分析云南高原金沙江干支流水沙相关性对揭示区域水沙规律、保障水源安全具有重要意义.为此,基于云南省境内金沙江流域干流及典型支流上的控制站点的流量和悬移质含沙量等观测资料,依托随机水文、趋势分析、Copula函数等方法系统地分析了水沙年际年内分布、时空遭遇、协同变化等规律和特性.结果表明,云南省境内金沙江干、支流流量和悬移质含沙量的年内分配不均,流量和悬移质含沙量正相关变化不完全同步;流域发生连续丰水/多沙事件的概率大于连续枯水/少沙事件的概率,但前者的持续影响弱于后者;水沙遭遇异步概率大于同步概率,丰水多沙组合的同现重现期最大、联合重现期次之、条件重现期最小.
Correlation Analysis of Water and Sediment in Jinshajiang River Mainstream and Tributaries of Yunnan Plateau
The Jinshajiang River Basin in Yunnan Province covers the main economic and political regions of the prov-ince.The Tiger Leaping Gorge section of the Jinshajiang River is the water source area of the central Yunnan water diver-sion project under construction.The correlation analysis of water and sediment in the main and tributaries of the Jin-shajiang River in the Yunnan Plateau is of great significance for revealing the law of regional water and sediment and ensu-ring the safety of water sources.Based on the observation data of flow and suspended sediment concentration of control stations in the main stream and typical tributaries of Jinshajiang River Basin in Yunnan Province,this paper systematical-ly analyzes the rules and characteristics of interannual and intra-annual distribution,spatio-temporal encounter and syner-gistic change of water and sediment by using stochastic hydrology,trend analysis and Copula functions.The results show that the annual distribution of flow and suspended sediment concentration in the main and tributaries of Jinshajiang River in Yunnan Province is uneven,and the positive correlation between flow and suspended sediment concentration is not completely synchronized.The probability of continuous high water/sediment events is greater than that of continuous low water/sediment events,but the continuous impact of the former is weaker than that of the latter.The asynchronous probability of runoff and sediment encounter is greater than the synchronous probability.The co-occurrence return period of the combination of abundant water and sediment is the largest,the joint return period is the second,and the conditional return period is the smallest.

water-sediment relationshipCopula functionrecurrence periodencounter analysisYunnan plateauJinshajiang River

张天力、陈晶、顾世祥

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云南省水利水电勘测设计研究院,云南 昆明 650021

水沙关系 Copula函数 重现期 遭遇分析 云南高原 金沙江

国家重点研发计划云南省高层次人才及创新团队项目

2021YFC300205-062018HC024

2024

水电能源科学
中国水力发电工程学会 华中科技大学 武汉国测三联水电设备有限公司

水电能源科学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.525
ISSN:1000-7709
年,卷(期):2024.42(5)
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