首页|数字经济、外商直接投资和人口老龄化相互影响机制研究——基于有调节的中介效应分析

数字经济、外商直接投资和人口老龄化相互影响机制研究——基于有调节的中介效应分析

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基于人口老龄化不断加快的时代背景,选取 2008-2018 年全国 31 个省份数据,构建有调节的中介效应模型,探究数字经济对老龄化背景下外商直接投资的影响作用机制.研究发现数字经济在发展的不同阶段对外商直接投资的影响效用不同,存在前期抑制后期促进的"U"型影响效应.人口老龄化通过劳动成本和储蓄率抑制外商直接投资,而数字经济能够调节劳动力成本和储蓄率,从而弱化老龄化对外商投资的不利影响.因此,要进一步推进数字经济发展,完善数字配套设施和制度建设,强化数字经济在调节劳动力成本和居民储蓄率,吸引外商投资流入,助力经济高质量发展.
Study on the Interaction Mechanism of Digital Economy,Foreign Direct Investment and Population Ageing:Based on Moderated Mediation Effect Analysis
Based on the era of accelerating population aging,this paper selects data from 31 provinces in China from 2008 to 2018,and constructs a moderated mediation effect model to explore the role mechanism of the digital economy's influence on foreign direct investment in the context of aging.It is found that the digital economy has different impact utility on foreign direct investment at different stages of development,and there is a U-shaped impact of inhibition in the early stage and promotion in the later stage.Population aging inhibits FDI through labor cost and savings rate,while digital economy can adjust labor cost and savings rate,thus weakening the negative impact of aging on FDI.Therefore,it is proposed to further promote the development of digital economy,improve digital supporting facilities and institutional construction,strengthen the important role of the digital economy in regulating labor costs and the savings rate of residents,attract foreign investment inflow,and contribute to the high-quality development of the economy.

digital economypopulation agingforeign direct investmentmoderated mediation effect

庄婷婷、王子涵、梁伟琦、姚依琳

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厦门大学 嘉庚学院,福建 漳州 363105

数字经济 人口老龄化 外商直接投资 有调节的中介效应

2024

山东商业职业技术学院学报
山东商业职业技术学院

山东商业职业技术学院学报

影响因子:0.319
ISSN:1671-4385
年,卷(期):2024.24(2)
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