Research on Prediction Methods of Carbon Emission in Xinjiang Construction Field Based on Basic Scenario
In view of the broad region,the large difference in building energy saving level,there is a lack of accurate prediction of carbon emission in the building field and the optimization of energy saving and carbon reduction means in Xinjiang,the carbon emission prediction model in the building field based on basic scenario analysis is proposed.Firstly,according to the current situation of energy use in the construction field in Xinjiang,determine the exogenous variables of building energy consumption;secondly,considering the influence of building energy conservation and green building,set different development scenarios and economic development model to calculate the energy demand of urban residential buildings,public building,rural housing and central heating.Finally,the total carbon emission of buildings under the basic scenario is calculated by the calculation of energy statistics and carbon conversion.The prediction results in the low,medium and high scenarios show that the proposed method can effectively predict the future carbon emission trends.
green buildingsenergy savingscenario predictionmodelcarbon emission
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
