我国人口老龄化对经济高质量发展的空间效应研究
Research on the Spatial effect of China's Population Aging on High-Quality Economic Development
石芳瑞1
作者信息
- 1. 兰州财经大学 统计学院,甘肃 兰州 730101
- 折叠
摘要
以我国 2006-2021 年 30 个省份的面板数据,通过测算经济高质量发展综合指数,应用ESDA方法分析了人口老龄化与经济高质量发展的空间相关性,进一步构建空间计量模型,探究老龄化对经济高质量发展的空间效应.研究发现:我国整体人口老龄化对本地经济高质量发展产生了正向的积极影响,而对邻近地区经济高质量发展产生了负向的空间溢出效应.分地区来看,东部、中部、西部三地区人口老龄化对经济高质量发展的直接效应均为正,但西部地区不显著,中部、东部地区间接效应为负,西部地区间接效应为正.
Abstract
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2006 to 2021,by measuring the comprehensive index of high-quality economic development,the ESDA method is applied to analyze the spatial correlation between population aging and high-quality economic development,and a spatial econometric model is further constructed to explore the spatial effect of aging on high-quality economic development.It is found that the aging of China's overall population has a positive impact on the high-quality development of the local economy,while it has a negative spatial spillover effect on the high-quality economic development of neighboring areas.In terms of regions,the direct effects of population aging on high-quality economic development in the eastern,central and western regions are all positive,but not significant in the western region,negative indirect effects in the central and eastern regions,and positive indirect effects in the western region.
关键词
ESDA/老龄化/经济高质量发展/溢出效应Key words
ESDA/aging population/high-quality economic development/spillover effects引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
维普
万方数据