首页|LPR改革后商业银行利率风险研究——基于压力测试

LPR改革后商业银行利率风险研究——基于压力测试

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利率市场化是利率以市场为导向,这使得利率的变动更加具有不稳定性和不确定性.利率风险是我国商业银行面临的主要风险之一,需要银行管理者对利率可能的变动方向有一个预判,进而及时地调整银行资产负债的结构比例,使商业银行能够将利率风险带来的冲击降到最小.基于此背景,文章使用利率敏感性缺口以及利率风险压力测试的方法,对中国JS银行、ZS银行和NB银行的利率风险进行研究,研究发现,LPR改革之后JS银行和ZS银行在利率上升 9.42%的重度压力情景下,仍旧具有抵御风险的能力;而NB银行在重度压力情景下存在着较大的风险暴露,在此情景下,NB银行承担利率风险的能力存在着不确定性.
Research on Interest Rate Risk of Commercial Banks After LPR Reform:Based on Stress Test
The marketization of interest rate which is market-oriented makes the fluctuation of interest rate unstable and difficult to predict.Interest rate risk is one of the main risks faced by commercial banks in our country,so it is necessary for bank managers to predict the possible change direction of interest rate,and then timely adjust the structural ratio of bank assets and liabilities,so that commercial banks can reduce the impact of interest rate risk to the minimum.Based on this background,this paper uses the methods of interest rate sensitivity gap and risk stress test to study the interest rate risks of China JS Bank,ZS Bank and NB Bank.The research finds that after the LPR reform,JS Bank and ZS Bank still have the ability to resist risks under the severe pressure scenario of an interest rate increase of 9.42%.However,NB Bank has a large risk exposure in the severe pressure scenario,and in this scenario,NB Banks ability to bear interest rate risk is uncertain.

interest rate riskcommercial bankssensitivity gapstress test

韩光辉、许莎莎

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河北工程大学 管理工程与商学院,河北 邯郸 056038

利率风险 商业银行 敏感性缺口 压力测试

2024

商业观察

商业观察

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.10(36)