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基于蒙特卡罗法的扩建尾矿库稳定性分析

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为分析尾矿坝新建库区和原始库区的稳定性,以某扩建尾矿坝为案例,考虑到土体的离散性和随机性,采用蒙特卡罗方法对扩建后的尾矿坝库区的静、动态稳定性进行了分析.结果表明:蒙特卡罗法以计算得到的呈正态分布的材料参数代替固定值,较Newmark法和瑞典圆弧法得到的安全系数偏大;不同波形的地震波对尾矿库的位移影响不同,当新建库区滩面堆积到原库区初始坝顶时,El Centro波作用下的总位移最大值为4.90 cm,Taft波作用下的总位移最大值为2.20 cm;将蒙特卡罗法与瑞典圆弧法和有限元强度折减法相结合预测新建尾矿坝库区的稳定性是可行的.同时,在实际过程中,应注意地震检测和预警工作.
Stability Analysis of Expanded Tailings Pond Based on Monte Carlo Method
In order to analyze the stability of the newly built tailings dam storage area and the original storage area,taking a certain expanded tailings dam as a case study,considering the discreteness and randomness of the soil,the Monte Carlo method was used to analyze the static and dynamic stability of the expanded tailings dam storage area.The results indicate that the Monte Carlo method uses normally distributed material parameters calculated instead of fixed values,resulting in a higher safety factor compared to the Newmark method and the Swedish arc method.The impact of seismic waves with different waveforms on the displacement of tailings ponds varies.When the beach surface of the newly built reservoir area accumulates to the initial dam crest of the original reservoir area,the maximum total displacement under the action of El Centro waves is 4.90 cm,and the maximum total displacement under the action of Taft waves is 2.20 cm.It is feasible to combine Monte Carlo method with Swedish arc method and finite element strength reduction method to predict the stability of newly built tailings dam storage area.Meanwhile,in the actual process,attention should be paid to earthquake detection and early warning work.

expansion of tailings pondstabilityMonte Carlo methodearthquake

张辛棋、董晓飞

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中钲矿山建设集团有限公司,陕西 西安 710000

扩建尾矿库 稳定性 蒙特卡罗法 地震

2024

山西冶金
山西省金属学会 山西省有色金属学会

山西冶金

影响因子:0.139
ISSN:1672-1152
年,卷(期):2024.47(10)