Spatio-temporal Evolution and Prediction of Industrial Ecological Security in the Yellow River Basin in Shandong Province
By evaluating and forecasting the industrial ecological security in Shandong section of the Yellow River Basin,the paper provides a reference for the sustainable development of industrial ecological security in this region.An industrial ecological security evaluation index system based on pressure,state and response framework was constructed,and the industrial ecological security of the basin from 2012 to 2021 was evaluaed by combining entropy weight method and comprehensive index method.Finally,the industrial ecological security level of the basin from 2022 to 2027 was scientifically predicted by using RBF neural network.The results show that:(1)The industrial ecological security of the nine cities in the Shandong section of the Yellow River Basin is on the rise,among which Dongying and Jinan are at the highest level;(2)There are some spatial differences,and the safety degree of the north is better than that of the south;The radiation effect of Jinan and Dongying has become stronger,driving the development of various cities,and the gap between different places has gradually narrowed;(3)RBF prediction results show that the industrial ecological security of the nine cities shows an overall upward trend from 2022 to 2027,and the gap between different places is further narrowed.
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维普
