上海电机学院学报2024,Vol.27Issue(5) :274-279,298.

基于VMD-SSA-BiLSTM网络下的短期电力负荷预测

Short-term power load forecasting based on VMD-SSA-BiLSTM network

王斌斌 孙丽江
上海电机学院学报2024,Vol.27Issue(5) :274-279,298.

基于VMD-SSA-BiLSTM网络下的短期电力负荷预测

Short-term power load forecasting based on VMD-SSA-BiLSTM network

王斌斌 1孙丽江1
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作者信息

  • 1. 上海电机学院商学院,上海 201306
  • 折叠

摘要

短期电力负荷预测是电力系统运控的重要部分,为提高负荷预测精度,针对实际负荷数据非线性、随机性等特征,建立了一种基于变分模态分解(VMD)下麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化的双向长短期记忆网络(BiLSTM)的短期电力负荷预测模型.采用VMD对电力负荷数据进行分解,提取多个不同频率特征的模态分量,并引入SSA算法对BiLSTM网络参数进行优化,根据输入的模态分量建立SSA-BiLSTM预测模型进行预测.结果表明:相比于BiLSTM模型和VMD-BiLSTM模型,所建立的模型预测精度更高,拟合效果更好.

Abstract

Short-term power load forecasting is an important part of power system operation and control.To improve the accuracy of load forecasting and address the nonlinearity and randomness of actual load data,a short-term power load forecasting model is proposed based on the variational modal decomposition(VMD)and a bidirectional long short-term memory network(BiLSTM)optimized by the sparrow search algorithm(SSA).First,the VMD is used to decompose the power load data to extract multiple modal components with different frequency characteristics.Second,the SSA algorithm is introduced to optimize the BiLSTM network parameters.Then,the SSA-BiLSTM prediction model is established according to the input modal components for prediction.The results show that the proposed model has higher prediction accuracy and better fitting performance than the Bi LSTM model and the VMD-BiLSTM model.

关键词

短期电力负荷预测/变分模态分解/麻雀搜索算法/双向长短期记忆网络

Key words

short-term power load forecasting/variational mode decomposition(VMD)/sparrow search algorithm(SSA)/bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)network

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出版年

2024
上海电机学院学报
上海电机学院

上海电机学院学报

影响因子:0.338
ISSN:2095-0020
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