Raising Hope:The Impact of Intergenerational Mobility on Fertility Desire in China
Children play such a crucial role in Chinese families that their future socioeconomic prospects significantly influence parents'reproductive decision.Drawing on the data from the 2010-2018 Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS),this study investigates the impact of macro-level intergenerational mobility on fertility intentions.The findings reveal a positive association between relative mobility and desired family size.Mediation analysis highlights the importance of subjective attitudes,including expected social status,subjective well-being,and societal evaluations.Additionally,analyses along socio-economic gradients demonstrate a diminishing effect of relative mobility with increasing socio-economic status,though it remains non-negative among high socio-economic groups.Furthermore,there are gender differences,with a more pronounced pattern observed among men than women,particularly regarding the preference for male offspring.Finally,the method of instrumental variable mitigates attenuation biases from measurement errors.This study advances our understanding of macro-level determinants of fertility intentions and underscores the significance of mobility opportunities for fertility policy considerations.