首页|考虑道德风险的突发事件政府治理路径研究

考虑道德风险的突发事件政府治理路径研究

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  • 国家科技期刊平台
  • NETL
  • NSTL
  • 万方数据
  • 维普
道德风险和瞒报行为对突发事件应对将产生不利影响,探究政府治理路径对应对突发事件具有重要意义.基于道德风险视角,利用演化博弈理论,在综合考虑企业道德风险、政府奖励、政府惩罚、政府监督等多个影响政府治理的因素基础上,构建了政府突发事件治理演化博弈模型,探究了突发事件应对过程中政府治理路径的演变情况.研究发现:政府治理突发事件行为的演化与其初始构建的支付矩阵密切相关,也与支付矩阵的初始参数选择有关.在一定范围内,增大对企业瞒报行为的处罚、降低政府强监管成本、减少企业道德风险可以有效促使系统的最终策略稳定于(强监管,实报)状态.研究结论可为政府在突发事件治理过程中形成联动治理局面提供一定参考和建议.
A Study on the Path of Government Governance of Emergencies Considering Moral Hazard
The concealment and moral hazard have a negative effect on the response to major emergencies.To explore the evolution of governance paths in the government in the situation of emergency response,this paper used the evolutionary game theory to construct a model that comprehensively considers the moral hazard of enterprise,government reward,government punishment,government supervision,and other factors basing on the perspective of moral hazard firstly.Secondly,through the theoretical analysis and numerical simulation of the model,it explored the evolution of the governance paths of governments and enterprises in response to emergencies.This study found that the evolution of the governance behavior of the government is closely related to its initial construction of the payment matrix and to the initial choice of parameters of the payment matrix.Besides,increasing penalties for concealment behavior by enterprises,reducing the cost of regulation by the government,and reducing the moral hazard of enterprise can drive the final strategy of the system to strong regulation and factual reporting state effectively.The study aims to provide some reference and suggestions to the government in the process of forming a linked governance situation in the management of emergencies.

emergenciesgovernance pathmoral hazardevolutionary gameregulation

刘举胜、李超然、王苑

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上海政法学院 经济管理学院,上海 201701

上海体育学院 经济管理学院,上海 200438

突发事件 治理路径 道德风险 演化博弈 监管

上海市青年科技英才扬帆计划资助项目上海市教育发展基金会和上海市教育委员会"晨光计划"项目资助项目上海市软科学研究计划资助项目昆明市社科规划课题上海体育学院校级科研项目上海政法学院青年教师国家社科基金培育项目

23YF144380022CGA6423692114100KSGH23182022XJ024C-02-22-009-0401

2024

上海管理科学
上海市管理科学协会

上海管理科学

CHSSCD
影响因子：0.466
ISSN：1005-9679
年,卷(期)：2024.46(1)
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