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市场结构与补贴变化如何造成中国风电行业过度投资?

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近年来,中国大力发展可再生能源,然而伴随着风电装机容量的快速发展,中国的风电产业也产生了"抢装""弃风限电"等问题.主要关注中国的风力发电行业,通过理论模型与实证模型,分析在中国现行的电力调度体制下,风力发电市场的过度投资问题.论证了风电上网电价下调前后,市场总装机容量的动态变化过程,并得出结论:风电开发商竞争激烈的地区更容易产生过度投资的问题.
How do Market Structure and Subsidy Changes Cause Overinvestment in China's Wind Power Industry?
In recent years,China has made great efforts to develop renewable energy.However,with the rapid development of installed wind power capacity,China's wind power industry has also produced prob-lems such as"rushing to install"and"Curtailment of wind power".Focusing on China's wind power in-dustry,this paper analyzes the problem of overinvestment in China's wind power market under the current power dispatching system through theoretical and empirical models.The dynamic change process of the to-tal installed capacity of the market before and after the reduction of the feed-in tariff of wind power is dem-onstrated,and the conclusion is drawn that the area where the competition of wind power developers is fierce is more likely to lead to the problem of overinvestment.

wind powerfeed-in tariff subsidy policyrushing to installcurtailment of wind power

雷威豪

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上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海 200030

风电 上网电价补贴政策 抢装 弃风限电

2024

上海管理科学
上海市管理科学协会

上海管理科学

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.466
ISSN:1005-9679
年,卷(期):2024.46(5)