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船舶替代燃料动力系统综合评价及选择策略

Comprehensive evaluation and selection strategy of alternative fuel power systems in ships

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为推动我国绿色航运转型,对船舶替代燃料动力系统的可行性进行探索.以长江集装箱船为研究对象,选取低碳燃料(液化天然气、甲醇)、零碳燃料(液氨、液氢)作为替代燃料,采用全生命周期环境评估和成本评估的方法评估燃料动力系统的碳当量排放和经济成本,并对结果的不确定性进行分析.通过反熵权法和逼近理想解排序法进行综合评价.环境评估结果表明,液氨、液氢和液化天然气的碳当量排放比基准柴油的分别减少了 66.80%、52.51%和16.94%;成本评估结果表明,甲醇和液化天然气的经济成本较基准柴油的降低了 24.51%和20.27%;可行性评估结果表明,液化天然气和液氨的贴近度都达到0.7,甲醇次之.评估结果说明液化天然气、液氨、甲醇是长江集装箱船理想的替代燃料,这为清洁燃料的替代选取提供科学的参考依据.
The feasibility of alternative fuel power systems in ships is explored to further promote the transformation of green shipping in China.Taking container ships on the Yangtze River as the research object,low-carbon fuels(liquefied natural gas,methanol)and zero-carbon fuels(liquid ammonia,liquid hydrogen)are selected as alternative fuels,the carbon equivalent emission and the economic cost of fuel power systems are assessed by the methods of all life cycle environmental assessment and cost assessment,and the uncertainties of the results are analyzed.The anti-entropy weight and TOPSIS(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution)methods are used for the comprehensive evaluation.The environmental assessment results show that,the carbon equivalent emissions of liquid ammonia,liquid hydrogen and liquefied natural gas are reduced by 66.80%,52.51%and 16.94%,respectively,compared with that of benchmark diesel;the cost assessment results show that the economic costs of methanol and liquefied natural gas are reduced by 24.51%and 20.27%,respectively,compared with that of benchmark diesel.From the perspective of system applicability,the closeness of both liquefied natural gas and liquid ammonia reaches 0.7,followed by methanol.The assessment results indicate that liquefied natural gas,liquid ammonia and methanol are ideal alternative fuels of container ships on the Yangtze River,which provides a scientific reference for the alternative choices of clean fuels.

water transportationalternative fuel power systemfull life cycleemission reductioneconomic cost

许思洋、鞠可一、王珏、刘海玲

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江苏科技大学经济管理学院,江苏镇江 212000

南京航空航天大学能源软科学研究中心,江苏南京 211106

水路运输 替代燃料动力系统 全生命周期 减排 经济成本

国家自然科学基金江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划

71874073KYCX22_3738KYCX23_3813

2024

上海海事大学学报
上海海事大学

上海海事大学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.578
ISSN:1672-9498
年,卷(期):2024.45(3)
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