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逆全球化下的规模经济新优势

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规模经济效应在宏观层面上意味着一国的人口或市场规模扩大时,生产成本被摊薄、分工与交易更加细化,从而可以提升经济效率,即大国相比小国经济可以实现更快增长.过去数十年的全球化,让小国通过参与国际产业链而享受了全球大市场带来的规模经济效应,这导致宏观经济分析中对大国规模的重视相对不足.在逆全球化时代,大国可以凭借自身规模积累更高的竞争优势,知识型经济尤其是数字经济的发展更放大了大国的规模优势,大国在国防和公共服务成本上的分摊能力也更强,这在地缘政治风险抬升的当下具有重要含义.中国的人口和经济总量居世界前列,拥有在新形势下发挥大国规模优势的基础,关键在于做大国内消费、打造国内统一大市场,并重视外部性和垄断等扭曲带来的市场失灵问题,尤其需要改进土地、金融、和数字经济治理机制.同时,中国产业体系较大、产业链前后向联系更强,可围绕本国的产业体系,加强与各国的产业链融合,促进跨国深度合作,提升产业的效率和安全.
The New Advantages of Economies of Scale in an Era of Deglobalization
The economies of scale at the macro level mean that when a country's population or market size expands,production costs are spread out and division of labor and transactions become more detailed,thereby enhancing economic efficiency,i.e.,larger nations can achieve faster economic growth compared to smaller ones.Over the past few decades of globalization,small nations have enjoyed the economies of scale brought by the global market through participation in international industrial chains,leading to a relatively insufficient emphasis on the scale of large countries in macroeconomic analysis.In the era of deglobalization,larger nations can accumulate higher competitive advantages based on their scale,and the development of knowledge-based economies,especially digital economies,further magnifies the scale advantage of larger nations.Larger nations also exhibit stronger capabilities in spreading the costs of defense and public services,which is particularly significant amid rising geopolitical risks.China,with its population and total economy among the world's leaders,has the foundation to leverage the scale advantages of a large country under the new circumstances.The key lies in expanding domestic consumption,establishing a unified domestic market,and addressing market failures caused by externalities and monopolies,especially requiring improvements in governance mechanisms in land,finance,and the digital economy.Meanwhile,China's substantial industrial system and stronger forward and backward linkages in the industrial chain allow it to strengthen integration with other countries'industrial chains around its own industrial system,promote deep cross-border cooperation,and enhance the efficiency and security of its industries.

Scale AdvantageDeglobalizationLarge Country Scale

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中国国际金融股份有限公司,北京 10004

规模优势 逆全球化 大国规模

2024

上海经济
上海社科院部门经济研究所

上海经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.114
ISSN:1000-4211
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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