"一带一路"沿线国家数字经济发展及驱动分析——基于互联互通视角
Analysis on Development and Driving Forces of Digital Economy in Countries along"The Belt and Road"——Based on Perspective of Interconnection and interoperability
陆畅1
作者信息
摘要
紧扣新时代数字经济发展现状和基本原则,基于2011-2020年"一带一路"39个国家的面板数据构建并测算数字经济发展水平,运用基尼系数分析其差异,采用固定效应面板模型和两阶段最小二乘法识别其驱动因素.研究表明:"一带一路"沿线国家数字经济发展水平整体较低,异质性特征明显,互联互通程度不高,但总体呈上升态势,数字基础设施建设是其变化的主要原因;数字经济发展水平的差异总体呈扩大趋势,制度保障和创新环境差距始终不大,数字技术创新能力差距的扩大是其主要原因;制度保障与创新环境对数字经济发展的促进作用最大,数字基础设施建设次之,数字技术创新能力位居第三且对数字经济发展水平的影响存在滞后性,数字经济外向竞争力影响程度相对较小.
Abstract
Based on the current situation and basic principles of the development of the digital economy in the new era,this paper constructs and calculates the development level of the digital economy based on the panel data of 39 countries along"the Belt and Road"from 2011 to 2020,The Gini coefficient was used to analyze the differences,and the drivers were identified using the fixed-effect panel model and the two-stage least square method.The research shows that the overall level of digital economy development of countries along"the Belt and Road"is low,with obvious heterogeneity and low connectivity,but the overall trend is rising,and digital in-frastructure construction is the main reason;The overall difference in the development level of the digital econ-omy is showing an expanding trend,with little difference between institutional guarantees and innovation envi-ronment.The widening gap in digital technology innovation capability is the main reason for this;The institution-al guarantee and innovation environment have the greatest promoting effect on the development of the digital economy,followed by the construction of digital infrastructure.The innovation capacity of digital technology ranks third and its impact on the development level of the digital economy lags behind.The degree of impact on the outward competitiveness of the digital economy is relatively small.
关键词
"一带一路"/数字经济/互联互通/高质量发展/滞后性Key words
"The Belt and Road"/Digital Economy/Interconnection and interoperability/High Quality Devel-opment/Hysteresis引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据