"一带一路"背景下中国和哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易竞争力和出口增长效应研究
Research on the Trade Competitiveness and Export Growth Effect of Agricultural Products between China and Kazakhstan under the Background of"the Belt and Road"
杨习铭 1黄钦1
作者信息
摘要
2023年是"一带一路"倡议提出十周年.作为丝绸之路经济带沿线的重要贸易伙伴,中国和哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易竞争力和出口增长效应研究对中哈未来农业领域的跨区域经贸合作和助力两国共同发展具有重要的现实意义.通过中哈农产品贸易竞争力和出口增长效应分析可知,中国总体和四大类农产品具有较弱的竞争优势;中哈非食用原料、食品与活动物具有较强的互补优势;哈萨克斯坦总体和四大类农产品中非食用原料类具有较强的比较优势;中对哈出口增长效应前期主要受产业结构竞争效应和价格竞争效应的正向影响,后期主要受市场需求效应的正向影响.基于以上分析结果,提出中哈两国未来农产品应加强"核心产业""重点产业""辅助产业"合作、开展跨区域投资和探索中国乡村振兴战略与哈国农业一体化对接等建议.
Abstract
2023 is the tenth anniversary of"the Belt and Road".As significant trading partners along the Silk Road Economic Belt,the research on the competitiveness and export growth effects of agricultural trade be-tween China and Kazakhstan is of great practical significance for the future cross regional economic and trade cooperation in the field of agriculture between China and Kazakhstan,and for promoting the common develop-ment of the two countries.By analyzing the competitiveness and export growth effects of agricultural product trade between China and Kazakhstan,it can be concluded that China as a whole and the four major categories of agricultural products have weak competitive advantages;China and Kazakhstan have strong complementary advantages in non edible raw materials,food,and live animals;Kazakhstan has a strong comparative advan-tage in non edible raw materials among the four major categories of agricultural products;The growth effect of exports from China to Kazakhstan is mainly positively influenced by the competition effects of industrial struc-ture and price in the early stage,and mainly positively influenced by the market demand effect in the later stage.Based on the above analysis results,it is proposed that China and Kazakhstan should strengthen coop-eration in"core industries,""key industries,"and"auxiliary industries"for future agricultural products,carry out cross regional investment,and explore the connection between China's rural revitalization strategy and Ka-zakhstan's agricultural integration.
关键词
"一带一路"/贸易竞争力/农产品/中国/哈萨克斯坦Key words
"the Belt and Road"/Trade Competitiveness/Agriculture Products/China/Kazakhstan引用本文复制引用
基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学(2021D01A54)
新疆财经大学校级科研(2022XGC025)
新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学(20BJL058)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据