首页|跨境电商对我国经济增长的影响——基于省级面板数据实证分析

跨境电商对我国经济增长的影响——基于省级面板数据实证分析

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跨境电商作为贸易新业态,能够很好地改善传统贸易方式、激发国内市场活力、扩大国内市场需求,同时也为促进我国经济增长注入新活力.采用我国2012-2021年省级面板数据,通过构建跨境电商指标体系,研究跨境电商对于我国经济增长的影响效应,同时还采用门槛效应模型来研究跨境电商交易额对我国经济增长是否存在非线性关系.研究结果表明,在做基准回归时,跨境电商对我国经济增长具有显著的促进作用.考虑控制变量的情况下,促进作用仍然存在.将跨境电商划分行业发展、运输物流、政策管理三维度,分别研究对我国经济增长影响,结果表明都产生显著的正向影响.在进行面板门槛效应回归时发现,跨境电商交易额对我国经济增长存在单一门槛效应,超过门槛值影响系数变大,表明跨境电商交易额对我国经济增长存在边际效用递增的影响.从加大跨境电商综合试验区的设立、推进跨境电商基础设施建设、推进跨境电商技术人才培养以及提升互联网信息化水平这四个方面提出完善跨境电商发展的相关建议.
The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce on China's Economic Growth-Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data
As a new trade mode,cross-border e-commerce significantly improves the traditional trade mode,stimulate the vitality of the domestic market,expand the domestic market demand,and at the same time inject new vitality to promote China's economic growth.Adopting China's provincial panel data from 2012 to 2021,the impact effect of cross-border e-commerce on China's economic growth is investigated by constructing cross-border e-commerce indicator system,and the threshold effect model is also used to investigate whether there is a nonlinear relationship between cross-border e-commerce turnover on China's economic growth.The results of the study show that cross-border e-commerce has a significant promotion effect on China's econom-ic growth when doing the benchmark regression.The promotion effect still exists when considering the control variables.Dividing cross-border e-commerce into the three dimensions of industry development,transporta-tion logistics,and policy management,the impact on China's economic growth is studied separately,and the results show that all of them have a significant positive impact.In the panel threshold effect regression found that cross-border e-commerce turnover on China's economic growth,there is a single threshold effect,more than the threshold value of the impact coefficient becomes larger,indicating that cross-border e-commerce turnover on China's economic growth there is a marginal utility incremental impact.Relevant suggestions for improving the development of cross-border e-commerce are put forward from the four aspects of increasing the establishment of comprehensive pilot zones for cross-border e-commerce,advancing the construction of cross-border e-commerce infrastructure,advancing the training of cross-border e-commerce technical tal-ents,and upgrading the level of Internet informationization.

Cross-Border E-CommerceEconomic GrowthHeterogeneityNonlinear RelationshipThresh-old Effect

李娜

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新疆财经大学经济学院

跨境电商 经济增长 异质性 非线性关系 门槛效应

2024

上海节能
上海市节能协会,上海市节能监察中心

上海节能

影响因子:0.163
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.(8)