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中国增长前景的国际政治经济学逻辑

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中国增长是当今时代的重大标志性事件.这一事件有着深刻的政治经济内涵,折射出中国与世界之间的深切关联.理解中国增长,需要将其置于中国式现代化的演进脉络而予以审视,探究其内在属性、关键动力与指导理念.增长依托于且服务于中国式现代化.增长的动力主要在于政治经济层面,而不单是经济层面.增长背后是全局性、系统性的新发展理念.对于世界而言,中国增长的意义主要体现于规则、交往获益、价值观三个层面.在规则层面,中国的增长意味着与发达国家之间就国际规则的磨合趋于明朗化,全球南方的发展空间趋于扩展.在交往获益层面,中西之间竞争合作并行的态势很可能会延续,中国与发展中国家之间的相互依存则更趋长期性、互惠性与韧性.在价值观层面,受中国增长的影响,发达国家对现代化的理解正在经历反思与调整,而发展中国家对"另一种选择"的重视则意味着全球南方提升内部凝聚力、加强彼此协调水平的可能契机.
The Logic of China's Growth Prospects from the Perspective of International Political Economy
China's growth is a major landmark event of today's era.This incident has profound political and economic connotations,reflecting the deep connection between China and the world.To understand China's growth,we need to examine it within the context of the evolution of Chinese-style modernization and explore its inherent attributes,key driving forces,and guiding concepts.Growth relies on and serves Chinese-style modernization.The driving force for growth lies mainly at the political and economic level,not just at the economic level.Behind growth lies a new overall and systematic development concept.For the world,the significance of China's growth is mainly reflected on three levels:rules,benefits from exchanges,and values.On the level of rules,China's growth means that its running-in with developed countries on international rules will become clearer,and the development space of the Global South will tend to expand.In terms of benefits from exchanges,the trend of parallel competition and cooperation between China and the West is likely to continue,while the interdependence between China and developing countries will become more long-term,reciprocal and resilient.At the level of values,influenced by China's growth,developed countries'understanding of modernization is undergoing reflection and adjustment,while developing countries'emphasis on"another option"means possible opportunities for the Global South to enhance internal cohesion and strengthen mutual coordination.

China's growthGlobal SouthChinese-style modernizationInternational Political Economy

孙伊然

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上海社会科学院世界经济研究所

中国增长 全球南方 中国式现代化 国际政治经济学

国家社会科学基金重大项目

20&ZD062

2024

社会科学
上海社会科学院

社会科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.04
ISSN:0257-5833
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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